NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Photo of Wesley MeierR
Public domain
RepublicanRunning for WA-4 U.S. House · 2026

Wesley Meier

The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the ten U.S. representatives from the State of Washington, one from all ten of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections will take place on August 4, 2026.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

Republican Wesley Meier is running for the U.S. House seat representing Washington's 4th congressional district in the 2026 election. In polls, he trails opponent John Duresky by a wide margin, polling at roughly 1% compared to Duresky's approximately 25%. Polymarket prediction markets estimate Meier's win probability at around 90%.

1%
Polling average
our aggregate
86%
Win probability
market-implied
Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race

The contest Meier is running in.

WA · HOUSE · 2026safe d
Meier (R) vs John Duresky (D)
1%−24.0 Duresky25%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Meier and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: GILBERT STUART · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Photo of Wesley MeierR
Republican · WA-4 U.S. House

Wesley Meier

The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the ten U.S. representatives from the State of Washington, one from all ten of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections will take place on August 4, 2026.

Where Meier standsRace →
Meier 1%John Duresky 25%
Market · wins
86¢
1%
Poll avg
86%
Win prob
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

Republican Wesley Meier is running for the U.S. House seat representing Washington's 4th congressional district in the 2026 election. In polls, he trails opponent John Duresky by a wide margin, polling at roughly 1% compared to Duresky's approximately 25%. Polymarket prediction markets estimate Meier's win probability at around 90%.

Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race
WA · HOUSE · 2026safe d
Meier (R) vs John Duresky (D)
1%−24.0 Duresky25%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: GILBERT STUART · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)