RepublicanRunning for MN U.S. Senate · 2026
Tom Weiler
Tom Weiler ( Republican Party ) is running for election to the U.S. Senate to represent Minnesota. He declared candidacy for the Republican primary scheduled on August 11, 2026 . [source]
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Tom Weiler is a Republican running for U.S. Senate to represent Minnesota. He is competing for the Republican Party's nomination in the primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Weiler has raised approximately $100,000 for his campaign to date.
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Weiler's money comes from.
B
65/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence100
0% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding54
46% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$105k
Raised
$56k
Spent
$51k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)97% large indiv.0% PAC
54% in-state · 46% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Weiler and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Republican
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Democrat
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Minnesota?
predictit · Democratic Party
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Minnesota?
predictit · Republican Party
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $85 · Republican party
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $474 · Democratic (DFL) party
Sources & provenance
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
ballot-access.org · 2026-07-05
Minnesota Secretary of State Posts Candidate List
newsmax.com · 2026-07-04
Michele Tafoya to Newsmax: 'Politics of Envy' Hits WNBA With Caitlin Clark
stl.news · 2026-07-02
Minnesota – A Senator’s Push to Eliminate Assault Weapons
nytimes.com · 2026-07-02
Minnesota U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
Republican · MN U.S. Senate
Tom Weiler
Tom Weiler ( Republican Party ) is running for election to the U.S. Senate to represent Minnesota. He declared candidacy for the Republican primary scheduled on August 11, 2026 . [source]
$105k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Tom Weiler is a Republican running for U.S. Senate to represent Minnesota. He is competing for the Republican Party's nomination in the primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Weiler has raised approximately $100,000 for his campaign to date.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Weiler's money comes from.
B
65/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence100
0% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding54
46% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$105k
Raised
$56k
Spent
$51k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)97% large indiv.0% PAC
54% in-state · 46% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Republican
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Democrat
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Minnesota?
predictit · Democratic Party
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Minnesota?
predictit · Republican Party
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $85 · Republican party
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $474 · Democratic (DFL) party
Sources & provenance
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.