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TSD
DemocratRunning for CA Governor · 2026

Tom Steyer

Tom Steyer ( Democratic Party ) ran for election for Governor of California . He lost in the primary on June 2, 2026 .
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03

Tom Steyer, a Democrat, ran for Governor of California in 2026 but lost in the primary on June 2. During the primary contest, he and opponent Xavier Becerra were effectively tied in polling, each at roughly 54–55 percent. Market data indicated minimal probability for a general election victory.

55%
Polling average
our aggregate
0%
Win probability
market-implied
+4
Net favorability
latest public poll
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
13%
Favorable
9%
Unfavorable
+4
Net
15% HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVEN'T HEARD ENOUGH · YOUGOV RATINGS TRACKER · N=1,380 U.S. ADULTS
Donors & money
—
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race

The contest Steyer is running in.

CA · GOVERNOR · 2026lean d
Steyer (D) vs Xavier Becerra (D)
55%+1.3 Steyer53.7%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Steyer and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Favorability
Published polls
YouGov ratings tracker · n=1,380 U.S. adults
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
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TSD
Democrat · CA Governor

Tom Steyer

Tom Steyer ( Democratic Party ) ran for election for Governor of California . He lost in the primary on June 2, 2026 .

Where Steyer standsRace →
Steyer 55%Xavier Becerra 53.7%
Market · wins
0¢
+4 net fav
55%
Poll avg
0%
Win prob
+4
Net fav
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03

Tom Steyer, a Democrat, ran for Governor of California in 2026 but lost in the primary on June 2. During the primary contest, he and opponent Xavier Becerra were effectively tied in polling, each at roughly 54–55 percent. Market data indicated minimal probability for a general election victory.

Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
13%
Favorable
9%
Unfavorable
+4
Net
15% HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVEN'T HEARD ENOUGH · YOUGOV RATINGS TRACKER · N=1,380 U.S. ADULTS
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
—
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race
CA · GOVERNOR · 2026lean d
Steyer (D) vs Xavier Becerra (D)
55%+1.3 Steyer53.7%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Favorability
Published polls
YouGov ratings tracker · n=1,380 U.S. adults
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.