RepublicanRunning for NC U.S. Senate · 2026
Thom Tillis
Thomas Edward Willis is an American politician. He is a member of the West Virginia Senate for the 15th district .
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Thom Tillis, a West Virginia state senator since 2024, is running for North Carolina's U.S. Senate seat in the 2026 general election. The Republican candidate has raised approximately $5 million for his campaign. The race is currently rated likely Democratic, indicating forecasters see the seat as favorable to Democratic candidates.
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Tillis's money comes from.
C−
34/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
36% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding31
69% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2024Member of the State Senate of West Virginia
since 2024
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$4.7M
Raised
$3.3M
Spent
$3.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)61% large indiv.36% PAC
31% in-state · 69% out-of-state (itemized)
Top contributors · bundled by employer / org
CLEAN ENERGY
$22k
CORNING
$20k
SOUTHERN ENERGY MANAGEMENT
$18k
MOBLEY HOLDINGS
$17k
WEBB CREEK
$17k
HENDRICK AUTOMOTIVE GROUP
$15k
Top industries · itemized $
Lawyers / law firms$14k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Tillis and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Roy Cooper (D)
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Michael Whatley (R)
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in North Carolina?
predictit · Democratic Party
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in North Carolina?
predictit · Republican Party
North Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $4k · Michael Whatley
North Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $3k · Roy Cooper
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
sri.siena.edu · 2026-07-01
New York Times/Siena Polls in Alaska, Iowa, North Carolina, and Ohio
nbcnews.com · 2026-06-25
Michael Whatley’s Michigan roots largely disappear from his bio as he runs for Senate in North Carolina
spectrumlocalnews.com · 2026-06-25
Survey finds Roy Cooper continues to hold double digit lead in N.C. Senate race
wcnc.com · 2026-06-25
New poll shows Roy Cooper leading Michael Whatley by 14 points in North Carolina US Senate race
Republican · NC U.S. Senate
Thom Tillis
Thomas Edward Willis is an American politician. He is a member of the West Virginia Senate for the 15th district .
$4.7M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Thom Tillis, a West Virginia state senator since 2024, is running for North Carolina's U.S. Senate seat in the 2026 general election. The Republican candidate has raised approximately $5 million for his campaign. The race is currently rated likely Democratic, indicating forecasters see the seat as favorable to Democratic candidates.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2024Member of the State Senate of West Virginia
since 2024
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Tillis's money comes from.
C−
34/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
36% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding31
69% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$4.7M
Raised
$3.3M
Spent
$3.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)61% large indiv.36% PAC
31% in-state · 69% out-of-state (itemized)
Top industries · itemized $
Lawyers / law firms$14k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Roy Cooper (D)
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Michael Whatley (R)
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in North Carolina?
predictit · Democratic Party
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in North Carolina?
predictit · Republican Party
North Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $4k · Michael Whatley
North Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $3k · Roy Cooper
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.