Public domain
RepublicanRunning for TX-28 U.S. House · 2026
Tano Tijerina
The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the thirty-eight U.S. representatives from the State of Texas, one from each of the state's thirty-eight congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on March 3, 2026, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections took place on May 26.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Tano Tijerina is a Republican who won his primary and is running for Texas's 28th Congressional District in 2026. In polling, Tijerina leads at approximately 46% to his opponent Henry Cuellar's 38%. Market-implied odds assign him roughly 20% win probability. He has raised approximately $900,000.
46%
Polling average
our aggregate
18%
Win probability
market-implied
$937k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Tijerina's money comes from.
C
45/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance14
7% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence12
22% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding53
47% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$937k
Raised
$361k
Spent
$577k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
7% small (<$200)71% large indiv.22% PAC
53% in-state · 47% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-15 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Tijerina is running in.
TX · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Tijerina (R) vs Henry Cuellar (D)
46%+8.0 Tijerina38%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Tijerina and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: COAT_OF_ARMS_OF_THE_REPUBLIC_OF_TEXAS.SVG: SODACAN DERIVATIVE WORK: FRY1989 (TALK) · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
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Texas Second Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
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foxnews.com · 2026-06-30
Shock poll: Talarico ties Paxton in Texas Senate race, threatening GOP stronghold
Republican · TX-28 U.S. House
Tano Tijerina
The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the thirty-eight U.S. representatives from the State of Texas, one from each of the state's thirty-eight congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on March 3, 2026, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections took place on May 26.
Where Tijerina standsRace →
Tijerina 46%Henry Cuellar 38%
Market · wins
18¢
46%
Poll avg
18%
Win prob
$937k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Tano Tijerina is a Republican who won his primary and is running for Texas's 28th Congressional District in 2026. In polling, Tijerina leads at approximately 46% to his opponent Henry Cuellar's 38%. Market-implied odds assign him roughly 20% win probability. He has raised approximately $900,000.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Tijerina's money comes from.
C
45/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance14
7% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence12
22% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding53
47% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$937k
Raised
$361k
Spent
$577k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
7% small (<$200)71% large indiv.22% PAC
53% in-state · 47% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-15 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
TX · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Tijerina (R) vs Henry Cuellar (D)
46%+8.0 Tijerina38%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: COAT_OF_ARMS_OF_THE_REPUBLIC_OF_TEXAS.SVG: SODACAN DERIVATIVE WORK: FRY1989 (TALK) · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)