Public domain
RepublicanRunning for TX-2 U.S. House · 2026
Steve Toth
Stephen Ira Cohen is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative from Tennessee's 9th congressional district, a majority-minority district centered in Memphis, since 2007. Previously, he served in the Tennessee Senate from 1983 to 2006. He is a member of the Democratic Party.
Born 1949 · Memphis, Tennessee , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
85%
Win probability
market-implied
$698k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Toth's money comes from.
B−
62/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance12
6% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence84
4% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding97
3% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure57
$520k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Toth did in office.
MeasureYearAction
National Guard and Reservists Debt Relief Extension Act of 2023
Became Public Law No: 118-24.
2023
Became law
To designate the medical center of the Department of Veterans Affairs in Memphis, Tennessee, as the "Lt. Col.
Became Public Law No: 117-236.
2022
Became law
To redesignate the Federal building located at 167 North Main Street in Memphis, Tennessee as the "Odell Horto
Became Public Law No: 117-74.
2021
Became law
National Guard and Reservists Debt Relief Extension Act of 2019
Became Public Law No: 116-53.
2019
Became law
SOAR to Health and Wellness Act of 2018
Became Public Law No: 115-398.
2017
Became law
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 1325 Autumn Avenue in Memphis, Tennes
Became Public Law No: 115-291.
2018
Became law
National Guard and Reservist Debt Relief Extension Act of 2015
Became Public Law No: 114-107.
2015
Became law
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Toth votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Toth
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
31
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 559 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
1977Vice president
since 1977
1978Commissioner
1978–1980
1980Delegate
1980–1980
1982Member of the State Senate of Tennessee
1982–2006
2007United States representative
since 2007
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$698k
Raised
$574k
Spent
$124k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
6% small (<$200)90% large indiv.4% PAC
97% in-state · 3% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Toth and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · TX-2 U.S. House
Steve Toth
Stephen Ira Cohen is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative from Tennessee's 9th congressional district, a majority-minority district centered in Memphis, since 2007. Previously, he served in the Tennessee Senate from 1983 to 2006. He is a member of the Democratic Party.
85%
Win prob
$698k
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
National Guard and Reservists Debt Relief Extension Act of 2023
2023 · BECAME LAW
To designate the medical center of the Department of Veterans Affairs in Memphis, Tennessee, as the "Lt. Col.
2022 · BECAME LAW
To redesignate the Federal building located at 167 North Main Street in Memphis, Tennessee as the "Odell Horto
2021 · BECAME LAW
National Guard and Reservists Debt Relief Extension Act of 2019
2019 · BECAME LAW
SOAR to Health and Wellness Act of 2018
2017 · BECAME LAW
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 1325 Autumn Avenue in Memphis, Tennes
2018 · BECAME LAW
National Guard and Reservist Debt Relief Extension Act of 2015
2015 · BECAME LAW
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
1977Vice president
since 1977
1978Commissioner
1978–1980
1980Delegate
1980–1980
1982Member of the State Senate of Tennessee
1982–2006
2007United States representative
since 2007
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Toth's money comes from.
B−
62/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance12
6% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence84
4% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding97
3% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure57
$520k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Toth votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Toth
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
31
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 559 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$698k
Raised
$574k
Spent
$124k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
6% small (<$200)90% large indiv.4% PAC
97% in-state · 3% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)