DemocratRunning for IA-3 U.S. House · 2026
Sarah Trone Garriott
Sarah Trone Garriott is an American politician and minister serving as a member of the Iowa Senate from the 14th district. Elected in November 2020, she assumed office on January 11, 2021. She is a member of the Democratic Party. On May 5, 2025, she announced her candidacy for United States House of Representatives in Iowa's 3rd congressional district. Garriott ran uncontested in the Democratic primary, advancing to the November 2026 general election.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-05
Sarah Trone Garriott, an Iowa state senator and minister since 2021, is running for U.S. House in Iowa's 3rd district after winning the Democratic primary. She trails her Republican opponent, Zach Nunn, in polling at roughly 42% to his 48%. Polymarket data implies roughly a 70% probability for her. She has raised approximately $4 million.
42%
Polling average
our aggregate
68%
Win probability
market-implied
$3.9M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Garriott's money comes from.
B−
59/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
2 watch items · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance34
17% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence72
7% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding30
70% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2021Member of the State Senate of Iowa
since 2021
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$3.9M
Raised
$1.2M
Spent
$2.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
17% small (<$200)76% large indiv.7% PAC
30% in-state · 70% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Garriott is running in.
IA · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Garriott (D) vs Zach Nunn (R)
42%−6.0 Nunn48%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Garriott and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
dailykos.com · 2026-07-02
Dem Up 4 in Fox Poll of Iowa Senate Race – and that’s not even the best news.
nytimes.com · 2026-07-02
Who Is Ahead in the Iowa Governor's Race? Latest 2026 Election Polls
upolitics.com · 2026-07-02
Democratic Senate Nominee Josh Turek Leading In Iowa Senate Race With Republican Weighed Down By Trump, New...
thehill.com · 2026-07-02
Democrat Josh Turek leading by 4 points in Iowa Senate race polling
Democrat · IA-3 U.S. House
Sarah Trone Garriott
Sarah Trone Garriott is an American politician and minister serving as a member of the Iowa Senate from the 14th district. Elected in November 2020, she assumed office on January 11, 2021. She is a member of the Democratic Party. On May 5, 2025, she announced her candidacy for United States House of Representatives in Iowa's 3rd congressional district. Garriott ran uncontested in the Democratic primary, advancing to the November 2026 general election.
Where Garriott standsRace →
Garriott 42%Zach Nunn 48%
Market · wins
68¢
42%
Poll avg
68%
Win prob
$3.9M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-05Sarah Trone Garriott, an Iowa state senator and minister since 2021, is running for U.S. House in Iowa's 3rd district after winning the Democratic primary. She trails her Republican opponent, Zach Nunn, in polling at roughly 42% to his 48%. Polymarket data implies roughly a 70% probability for her. She has raised approximately $4 million.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2021Member of the State Senate of Iowa
since 2021
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Garriott's money comes from.
B−
59/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
2 watch items · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance34
17% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence72
7% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding30
70% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$3.9M
Raised
$1.2M
Spent
$2.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
17% small (<$200)76% large indiv.7% PAC
30% in-state · 70% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.