Public domain
DemocratRunning for NC-3 U.S. House · 2026
Raymond Smith Jr.
Raymond Edward Smith Jr. is a former Democratic member of the North Carolina House of Representatives, who represented the 21st district from 2019 to 2023. He is the Democratic nominee for the U.S. House from North Carolina's 3rd congressional district in the 2026 election.
Born 1961 · Goldsboro, North Carolina , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
13%
Win probability
market-implied
$116k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Smith's money comes from.
B+
78/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance84
42% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence64
9% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding68
32% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure94
$7k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—Member of the North Carolina House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$116k
Raised
$68k
Spent
$41k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
42% small (<$200)49% large indiv.9% PAC
68% in-state · 32% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Smith and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: NC GENERAL ASSEMBLY · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Democrat · NC-3 U.S. House
Raymond Smith Jr.
Raymond Edward Smith Jr. is a former Democratic member of the North Carolina House of Representatives, who represented the 21st district from 2019 to 2023. He is the Democratic nominee for the U.S. House from North Carolina's 3rd congressional district in the 2026 election.
13%
Win prob
$116k
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—Member of the North Carolina House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Smith's money comes from.
B+
78/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance84
42% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence64
9% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding68
32% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure94
$7k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$116k
Raised
$68k
Spent
$41k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
42% small (<$200)49% large indiv.9% PAC
68% in-state · 32% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: NC GENERAL ASSEMBLY · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)