CC BY-SA 3.0
RepublicanRunning for ME-2 U.S. House · 2026
Paul LePage
Paul Richard LePage is an American businessman and politician who served as the 74th governor of Maine from 2011 to 2019. A member of the Republican Party , he previously served as the mayor of Waterville, Maine , from 2004 to 2011 and as a city councilor for Waterville from 1998 to 2002.
Born 1948 · Lewiston, Maine , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
42.8%
Polling average
our aggregate
62%
Win probability
market-implied
$2.0M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho LePage's money comes from.
C+
54/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
2 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance18
9% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence40
15% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding58
42% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$7k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2011Governor of Maine
2011–2019
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$2.0M
Raised
$743k
Spent
$1.2M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
9% small (<$200)76% large indiv.15% PAC
58% in-state · 42% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-16 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest LePage is running in.
ME · HOUSE · 2026tilt r
LePage (R) vs Matt Dunlap (D)
42.8%+0.1 LePage42.7%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to LePage and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: GAGE SKIDMORE · CC BY-SA 3.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
washingtonpost.com · 2026-07-07
Top Democrats pull Graham Platner endorsements, call on him to end Maine Senate campaign
newscentermaine.com · 2026-07-06
Leading Maine Democrats call on Graham Platner to withdraw from US Senate race amid sexual assault accusation
bangordailynews.com · 2026-07-06
Maine and national Democrats call on Graham Platner to leave US Senate race
scrippsnews.com · 2026-07-03
Graham Platner wins Maine Democratic primary, will face GOP Sen. Susan Collins
Republican · ME-2 U.S. House
Paul LePage
Paul Richard LePage is an American businessman and politician who served as the 74th governor of Maine from 2011 to 2019. A member of the Republican Party , he previously served as the mayor of Waterville, Maine , from 2004 to 2011 and as a city councilor for Waterville from 1998 to 2002.
Where LePage standsRace →
LePage 42.8%Matt Dunlap 42.7%
Market · wins
62¢
42.8%
Poll avg
62%
Win prob
$2.0M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2011Governor of Maine
2011–2019
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who LePage's money comes from.
C+
54/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
2 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance18
9% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence40
15% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding58
42% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$7k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$2.0M
Raised
$743k
Spent
$1.2M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
9% small (<$200)76% large indiv.15% PAC
58% in-state · 42% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-16 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: GAGE SKIDMORE · CC BY-SA 3.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)