Public domain
RepublicanRunning for NC-10 U.S. House · 2026
Pat Harrigan
Patrick Luke Harrigan is an American politician, engineer, and former Army Special Forces officer serving as the U.S. representative for North Carolina's 10th congressional district since 2025. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Born 1987 · San Diego County, California , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Pat Harrigan, a Republican former Army Special Forces officer and engineer, is the U.S. representative for North Carolina's 10th congressional district and is seeking re-election in 2026. He leads opponent Ashley Bell in polling, with about 52% support to her approximately 37%. Polymarket odds assign him about a 90% implied win probability. He has raised approximately $1 million for his campaign.
52%
Polling average
our aggregate
88%
Win probability
market-implied
$974k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Harrigan's money comes from.
C
42/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance18
9% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
36% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding50
50% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Harrigan did in office.
MeasureYearAction
To codify Executive Order 14412, entitled "Securing the Nation Against Advanced Cryptographic Attacks".
Referred to the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, and in addition to the Committees on Science, Space, and Technology, Foreign Affairs, Ho
2026
Sponsored
Foreign Medical Program Integrity and Improvement Act
Referred to the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs.
2026
Sponsored
American Drone Manufacturing Dominance Act of 2026
Referred to the Committee on the Judiciary, and in addition to the Committee on Energy and Commerce, for a period to be subsequently determined by the
2026
Sponsored
COMPASS Act
Referred to the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs.
2026
Sponsored
Business Activity Tax Simplification Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.
2026
Sponsored
Next-Generation Geothermal Research and Development Act
Ordered to be Reported (Amended) by Voice Vote.
2026
Sponsored
Special Operations Forces Concealed Carry Act
Referred to the Subcommittee on Disability Assistance and Memorial Affairs.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Harrigan votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Harrigan
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Right
Overall lean
99
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 582 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
93%voted with Republicans · 7% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2025Member of the United States House of Representatives
since 2025
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$974k
Raised
$587k
Spent
$440k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
9% small (<$200)55% large indiv.36% PAC
50% in-state · 50% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Harrigan is running in.
NC · HOUSE · 2026safe r
Harrigan (R) vs Ashley Bell (D)
52%+15.0 Harrigan37%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Harrigan and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · NC-10 U.S. House
Pat Harrigan
Patrick Luke Harrigan is an American politician, engineer, and former Army Special Forces officer serving as the U.S. representative for North Carolina's 10th congressional district since 2025. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Where Harrigan standsRace →
Harrigan 52%Ashley Bell 37%
Market · wins
88¢
52%
Poll avg
88%
Win prob
$974k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Pat Harrigan, a Republican former Army Special Forces officer and engineer, is the U.S. representative for North Carolina's 10th congressional district and is seeking re-election in 2026. He leads opponent Ashley Bell in polling, with about 52% support to her approximately 37%. Polymarket odds assign him about a 90% implied win probability. He has raised approximately $1 million for his campaign.
Governing & voting record
To codify Executive Order 14412, entitled "Securing the Nation Against Advanced Cryptographic Attacks".
2026 · SPONSORED
Foreign Medical Program Integrity and Improvement Act
2026 · SPONSORED
American Drone Manufacturing Dominance Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
COMPASS Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Business Activity Tax Simplification Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Next-Generation Geothermal Research and Development Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Special Operations Forces Concealed Carry Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2025Member of the United States House of Representatives
since 2025
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Harrigan's money comes from.
C
42/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance18
9% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
36% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding50
50% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Harrigan votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Harrigan
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Right
Overall lean
99
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 582 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
93%voted with Republicans · 7% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$974k
Raised
$587k
Spent
$440k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
9% small (<$200)55% large indiv.36% PAC
50% in-state · 50% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: HOUSE CREATIVE SERVICES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)