Public domain
DemocratRunning for KY-3 U.S. House · 2026
Morgan McGarvey
John Morgan McGarvey is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district since 2023. He is a member of the Democratic Party.
Born 1979 · Louisville, Kentucky , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
94%
Win probability
market-implied
$1.4M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho McGarvey's money comes from.
C+
52/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance22
11% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
34% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding84
16% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What McGarvey did in office.
MeasureYearAction
National Task Force on Caregiving Youth of Veterans Act.
Referred to the Committee on Veterans' Affairs, and in addition to the Committee on Armed Services, for a period to be subsequently determined by the
2026
Sponsored
Child Safety and Well-Being Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Education and Workforce.
2026
Sponsored
Helen Keller Education Act
Referred to the House Committee on Education and Workforce.
2026
Sponsored
Alice Cogswell and Anne Sullivan Macy Act
Referred to the House Committee on Education and Workforce.
2026
Sponsored
Young Adult Tax Credit Act
Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.
2026
Sponsored
Board of Veterans’ Appeals Attorney Retention and Backlog Reduction Act
Committee Hearings Held
2025
Sponsored
HELP Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How McGarvey votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
McGarvey
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
25
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 592 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Democrats · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2012Member of the State Senate of Kentucky
2012–2023
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$1.4M
Raised
$987k
Spent
$1.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
11% small (<$200)55% large indiv.34% PAC
84% in-state · 16% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-29 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to McGarvey and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Democrat · KY-3 U.S. House
Morgan McGarvey
John Morgan McGarvey is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district since 2023. He is a member of the Democratic Party.
94%
Win prob
$1.4M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
National Task Force on Caregiving Youth of Veterans Act.
2026 · SPONSORED
Child Safety and Well-Being Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Helen Keller Education Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Alice Cogswell and Anne Sullivan Macy Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Young Adult Tax Credit Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Board of Veterans’ Appeals Attorney Retention and Backlog Reduction Act
2025 · SPONSORED
HELP Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2012Member of the State Senate of Kentucky
2012–2023
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who McGarvey's money comes from.
C+
52/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance22
11% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
34% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding84
16% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How McGarvey votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
McGarvey
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
25
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 592 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Democrats · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$1.4M
Raised
$987k
Spent
$1.7M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
11% small (<$200)55% large indiv.34% PAC
84% in-state · 16% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-29 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)