CC BY-SA 4.0
RepublicanRunning for TX-15 U.S. House · 2026
Monica De La Cruz
Mónica de la Cruz is an American politician and insurance agent serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 15th congressional district since 2023. She is a member of the Republican Party.
Born 1974 · Brownsville, Texas , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-05
Mónica De La Cruz is an insurance agent and U.S. representative for Texas's 15th congressional district since 2023. She leads opponent Bobby Pulido in polling by about 4 percentage points (around 42% to 38%), though the race is rated as leaning Democratic. Polymarket puts her win probability at roughly 50%. She has raised about $4 million for the 2026 race.
41.5%
Polling average
our aggregate
50%
Win probability
market-implied
$4.2M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Cruz's money comes from.
B−
60/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance66
33% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence32
17% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding41
59% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Cruz did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Disabled Veterans Housing Support Act
Became Public Law No: 119-70.
2025
Became law
Preventing the Financing of Illegal Synthetic Drugs Act
Became Public Law No: 118-79.
2023
Became law
WATER for Farmers Act
Referred to the Committee on Foreign Affairs, and in addition to the Committees on Ways and Means, and Agriculture, for a period to be subsequently de
2026
Sponsored
Lance Corporal Dustin Sekula Congressional Gold Medal Act
Referred to the House Committee on Financial Services.
2026
Sponsored
Saving Lives on Campuses Act of 2026
Referred to the Committee on Education and Workforce, and in addition to the Committee on Energy and Commerce, for a period to be subsequently determi
2026
Sponsored
Improving Medicare Services Act of 2026
Referred to the Committee on Ways and Means, and in addition to the Committee on Energy and Commerce, for a period to be subsequently determined by th
2026
Sponsored
Strengthen Taxpayer Rights Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Cruz votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Cruz
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
74
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 553 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$4.2M
Raised
$2.5M
Spent
$2.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
33% small (<$200)50% large indiv.17% PAC
41% in-state · 59% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Cruz is running in.
TX · HOUSE · 2026tilt d
Cruz (R) vs Bobby Pulido (D)
41.5%+3.9 Cruz37.5%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Cruz and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: NICKTILSON · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
thecentersquare.com · 2026-07-06
U.S. Supreme Court again enables Texas election law to go into effect
texastribune.org · 2026-07-06
Bobby Pulido faces scrutiny over ex-bandmate in bid for Congress
dallasnews.com · 2026-07-02
Election denier Nate Schatzline to advise Abbott on Texas voting policy
star-telegram.com · 2026-07-02
Texas House candidate for Fort Worth area district posts racially coded meme
Republican · TX-15 U.S. House
Monica De La Cruz
Mónica de la Cruz is an American politician and insurance agent serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 15th congressional district since 2023. She is a member of the Republican Party.
Where Cruz standsRace →
Cruz 41.5%Bobby Pulido 37.5%
Market · wins
50¢
41.5%
Poll avg
50%
Win prob
$4.2M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-05Mónica De La Cruz is an insurance agent and U.S. representative for Texas's 15th congressional district since 2023. She leads opponent Bobby Pulido in polling by about 4 percentage points (around 42% to 38%), though the race is rated as leaning Democratic. Polymarket puts her win probability at roughly 50%. She has raised about $4 million for the 2026 race.
Governing & voting record
Disabled Veterans Housing Support Act
2025 · BECAME LAW
Preventing the Financing of Illegal Synthetic Drugs Act
2023 · BECAME LAW
WATER for Farmers Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Lance Corporal Dustin Sekula Congressional Gold Medal Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Saving Lives on Campuses Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Improving Medicare Services Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Strengthen Taxpayer Rights Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Cruz's money comes from.
B−
60/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance66
33% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence32
17% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding41
59% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Cruz votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Cruz
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
74
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 553 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$4.2M
Raised
$2.5M
Spent
$2.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
33% small (<$200)50% large indiv.17% PAC
41% in-state · 59% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: NICKTILSON · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)