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MBD
DemocratRunning for WI-1 U.S. House · 2026

Mitchell Berman

Law professor
Mitchell N. Berman is an American legal scholar. He serves as the Leon Meltzer Professor of Law at the University of Pennsylvania Law School and, in addition, is also a professor of philosophy. He is also the Co-Director of the Institute for Law & Philosophy at the university.
Profession Law professor
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

Mitchell Berman, a law professor at the University of Pennsylvania Law School, is running for Congress in Wisconsin's 1st District. In polling, he trails Republican opponent Bryan Steil by roughly nine points. Berman has raised about $400,000 and also holds a philosophy appointment at Penn. Market data suggests roughly 40% win probability.

41%
Polling average
our aggregate
40%
Win probability
market-implied
$427k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mix

Who Berman's money comes from.

A
91/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — small-dollar reliance is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance100
57% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence92
2% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding72
28% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date

Who funds the campaign.

$427k
Raised
$286k
Spent
$141k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
57% small (<$200)41% large indiv.2% PAC
72% in-state · 28% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race

The contest Berman is running in.

WI · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Berman (D) vs Bryan Steil (R)
41%−9.0 Steil50%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Berman and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
MBD
Democrat · WI-1 U.S. House

Mitchell Berman

Law professor

Mitchell N. Berman is an American legal scholar. He serves as the Leon Meltzer Professor of Law at the University of Pennsylvania Law School and, in addition, is also a professor of philosophy. He is also the Co-Director of the Institute for Law & Philosophy at the university.

Where Berman standsRace →
Berman 41%Bryan Steil 50%
Market · wins
40¢
41%
Poll avg
40%
Win prob
$427k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

Mitchell Berman, a law professor at the University of Pennsylvania Law School, is running for Congress in Wisconsin's 1st District. In polling, he trails Republican opponent Bryan Steil by roughly nine points. Berman has raised about $400,000 and also holds a philosophy appointment at Penn. Market data suggests roughly 40% win probability.

Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard

Who Berman's money comes from.

A
91/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — small-dollar reliance is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance100
57% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence92
2% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding72
28% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$427k
Raised
$286k
Spent
$141k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
57% small (<$200)41% large indiv.2% PAC
72% in-state · 28% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
WI · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Berman (D) vs Bryan Steil (R)
41%−9.0 Steil50%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.