Public domain
RepublicanRunning for NE-1 U.S. House · 2026
Mike Flood
Michael John Flood is an American attorney, businessman, and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Nebraska's 1st congressional district since July 2022. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served two stints as a member of the Nebraska Legislature from the 19th district, from 2005 to 2013 and 2021 to 2022. He served as speaker of the legislature from 2007 to 2013.
Born 1975 · Omaha, Nebraska , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Mike Flood, the Republican U.S. representative for Nebraska's 1st congressional district since 2022, is seeking re-election. A lawyer and former state legislator who served as Nebraska Legislature speaker from 2007 to 2013, Flood leads challenger Chris Backemeyer in polling at approximately 42% to 34%. With roughly $2 million raised, Flood has about an 80% market-implied win probability.
42%
Polling average
our aggregate
82%
Win probability
market-implied
$2.0M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Flood's money comes from.
C
42/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance4
2% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
48% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding66
34% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Flood did in office.
MeasureYearAction
TRIA Program Reauthorization Act of 2026
Motion to reconsider laid on the table Agreed to without objection.
2026
Sponsored
Electing a Member to certain standing committees of the House of Representatives.
Motion to reconsider laid on the table Agreed to without objection.
2026
Sponsored
Bank Fraud Technology Advancement Act of 2026
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 612.
2026
Sponsored
Build Housing Affordably Act
Referred to the House Committee on Financial Services.
2026
Sponsored
VA TRUST Act
Committee Hearings Held
2025
Sponsored
Precision Agriculture Workforce Training and Development Act
Referred to the House Committee on Agriculture.
2026
Sponsored
Least Cost Exception Act
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 405.
2025
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Flood votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Flood
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
72
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 588 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2022United States representative
since 2022
—Nebraska State Senator
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$2.0M
Raised
$872k
Spent
$1.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
2% small (<$200)50% large indiv.48% PAC
66% in-state · 34% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-22 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Flood is running in.
NE · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Flood (R) vs Chris Backemeyer (D)
42%+7.6 Flood34.4%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Flood and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: IKE HAYMAN · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · NE-1 U.S. House
Mike Flood
Michael John Flood is an American attorney, businessman, and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Nebraska's 1st congressional district since July 2022. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served two stints as a member of the Nebraska Legislature from the 19th district, from 2005 to 2013 and 2021 to 2022. He served as speaker of the legislature from 2007 to 2013.
Where Flood standsRace →
Flood 42%Chris Backemeyer 34.4%
Market · wins
82¢
42%
Poll avg
82%
Win prob
$2.0M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Mike Flood, the Republican U.S. representative for Nebraska's 1st congressional district since 2022, is seeking re-election. A lawyer and former state legislator who served as Nebraska Legislature speaker from 2007 to 2013, Flood leads challenger Chris Backemeyer in polling at approximately 42% to 34%. With roughly $2 million raised, Flood has about an 80% market-implied win probability.
Governing & voting record
TRIA Program Reauthorization Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Electing a Member to certain standing committees of the House of Representatives.
2026 · SPONSORED
Bank Fraud Technology Advancement Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Build Housing Affordably Act
2026 · SPONSORED
VA TRUST Act
2025 · SPONSORED
Precision Agriculture Workforce Training and Development Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Least Cost Exception Act
2025 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2022United States representative
since 2022
—Nebraska State Senator
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Flood's money comes from.
C
42/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance4
2% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
48% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding66
34% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Flood votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Flood
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
72
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 588 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$2.0M
Raised
$872k
Spent
$1.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
2% small (<$200)50% large indiv.48% PAC
66% in-state · 34% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-22 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: IKE HAYMAN · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)