Public domain
RepublicanRunning for WA-4 U.S. House · 2026
Matt Boehnke
Matthew A. Boehnke is an American politician from Washington. Boehnke is a Republican member of the Washington State Senate.
Born 1968 · Santa Maria, California , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Matthew A. Boehnke is a Republican member of the Washington State Senate running for U.S. House in Washington's 4th district. He polls at about 7%, trailing opponent John Duresky at about 25%. Polymarket's prediction market gives him about a 90% win probability. He has raised about $100,000 and previously served in the Washington House of Representatives from 2019 to 2023.
7%
Polling average
our aggregate
86%
Win probability
market-implied
$58k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Boehnke's money comes from.
B
71/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance10
5% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding99
1% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2019Member of the Washington House of Representatives
2019–2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$58k
Raised
$18k
Spent
$40k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
5% small (<$200)89% large indiv.6% PAC
99% in-state · 1% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Boehnke is running in.
WA · HOUSE · 2026safe d
Boehnke (R) vs John Duresky (D)
7%−18.0 Duresky25%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Boehnke and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: JOSEPH SIEMANDEL · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · WA-4 U.S. House
Matt Boehnke
Matthew A. Boehnke is an American politician from Washington. Boehnke is a Republican member of the Washington State Senate.
Where Boehnke standsRace →
Boehnke 7%John Duresky 25%
Market · wins
86¢
7%
Poll avg
86%
Win prob
$58k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Matthew A. Boehnke is a Republican member of the Washington State Senate running for U.S. House in Washington's 4th district. He polls at about 7%, trailing opponent John Duresky at about 25%. Polymarket's prediction market gives him about a 90% win probability. He has raised about $100,000 and previously served in the Washington House of Representatives from 2019 to 2023.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2019Member of the Washington House of Representatives
2019–2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Boehnke's money comes from.
B
71/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance10
5% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding99
1% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$58k
Raised
$18k
Spent
$40k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
5% small (<$200)89% large indiv.6% PAC
99% in-state · 1% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: JOSEPH SIEMANDEL · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)