Public domain
DemocratRunning for OH-9 U.S. House · 2026
Marcy Kaptur
Marcia Carolyn Kaptur is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Ohio's 9th congressional district since 1983. Her district stretches across northwestern Ohio along the southern shore of Lake Erie and includes parts of Toledo and surrounding communities. She is a member of the Democratic Party.
Born 1946 · Toledo, Ohio , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Marcy Kaptur, U.S. representative for Ohio's 9th congressional district since 1983, is seeking reelection in 2026. She trails opponent Derek Merrin in polling, with roughly 42% support to his 48%. Polymarket assigns her about a 70% win probability. Kaptur has raised around $3 million for her campaign. Her career before Congress included work as an urban planner and administrator from 1969 to 1979.
42.5%
Polling average
our aggregate
68%
Win probability
market-implied
$3.4M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Kaptur's money comes from.
C−
38/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance28
14% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
33% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding23
77% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Kaptur did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Greatest Generation Commemorative Coin Act
Became Public Law No: 117-162.
2021
Became law
To designate the United States courthouse located at 1716 Spielbusch Avenue in Toledo, Ohio, as the "James M.
Became Public Law No: 110-284.
2007
Became law
Ottawa National Wildlife Refuge Complex Expansion and Detroit River International Wildlife Refuge Expansion Ac
Became Public Law No: 108-23.
2003
Became law
Veterans' Home Loan Program Improvements and Property Rehabilitation Act of 1987
Became Public Law No: 100-198.
1987
Became law
A joint resolution to designate 1986 as "Save for the U.S.A. Year", and for other purposes.
Became Public Law No: 99-202.
1985
Became law
To establish a United States-Ukraine Strategic Defense Innovation Working Group, and for other purposes.
Referred to the Committee on Foreign Affairs, and in addition to the Committee on Armed Services, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Sp
2026
Sponsored
Expressing support for the designation of the week of May 8 through May 17, 2026, as "National American Birdin
Referred to the House Committee on Natural Resources.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Kaptur votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Kaptur
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
33
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 577 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
92%voted with Democrats · 8% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
1969Urban planner
1969–1975
1975Director
1975–1977
1977Assistant director
1977–1979
1983United States representative
since 1983
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$3.4M
Raised
$741k
Spent
$3.1M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
14% small (<$200)53% large indiv.33% PAC
23% in-state · 77% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-15 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Kaptur is running in.
OH · HOUSE · 2026lean r
Kaptur (D) vs Derek Merrin (R)
42.5%−5.0 Merrin47.5%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Kaptur and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: OFFICIAL HOUSE PHOTOGRAPHER · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
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Democrat · OH-9 U.S. House
Marcy Kaptur
Marcia Carolyn Kaptur is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Ohio's 9th congressional district since 1983. Her district stretches across northwestern Ohio along the southern shore of Lake Erie and includes parts of Toledo and surrounding communities. She is a member of the Democratic Party.
Where Kaptur standsRace →
Kaptur 42.5%Derek Merrin 47.5%
Market · wins
68¢
42.5%
Poll avg
68%
Win prob
$3.4M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Marcy Kaptur, U.S. representative for Ohio's 9th congressional district since 1983, is seeking reelection in 2026. She trails opponent Derek Merrin in polling, with roughly 42% support to his 48%. Polymarket assigns her about a 70% win probability. Kaptur has raised around $3 million for her campaign. Her career before Congress included work as an urban planner and administrator from 1969 to 1979.
Governing & voting record
Greatest Generation Commemorative Coin Act
2021 · BECAME LAW
To designate the United States courthouse located at 1716 Spielbusch Avenue in Toledo, Ohio, as the "James M.
2007 · BECAME LAW
Ottawa National Wildlife Refuge Complex Expansion and Detroit River International Wildlife Refuge Expansion Ac
2003 · BECAME LAW
Veterans' Home Loan Program Improvements and Property Rehabilitation Act of 1987
1987 · BECAME LAW
A joint resolution to designate 1986 as "Save for the U.S.A. Year", and for other purposes.
1985 · BECAME LAW
To establish a United States-Ukraine Strategic Defense Innovation Working Group, and for other purposes.
2026 · SPONSORED
Expressing support for the designation of the week of May 8 through May 17, 2026, as "National American Birdin
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
1969Urban planner
1969–1975
1975Director
1975–1977
1977Assistant director
1977–1979
1983United States representative
since 1983
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Kaptur's money comes from.
C−
38/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance28
14% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
33% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding23
77% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Kaptur votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Kaptur
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
33
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 577 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
92%voted with Democrats · 8% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$3.4M
Raised
$741k
Spent
$3.1M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
14% small (<$200)53% large indiv.33% PAC
23% in-state · 77% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-15 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: OFFICIAL HOUSE PHOTOGRAPHER · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)