DemocratRunning for IA-2 U.S. House · 2026
Lindsay James
Lindsay James is an American politician and Presbyterian minister serving as a member of the Iowa House of Representatives from the 71st district since 2019. She is a member of the Democratic Party and represents part of Dubuque County. She is running for the 2026 Democratic primary nomination in Iowa's second congressional district, a seat currently held by Representative Ashley Hinson. Hinson is running for the U.S. Senate in 2026.
Born 1980
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Lindsay James, a Democratic member of the Iowa House of Representatives since 2019 and Presbyterian minister, is running for Congress in Iowa's 2nd district. She leads opponent Joe Mitchell in polling, with about 36% to his 34%. Markets assign her roughly a 40% win probability. She has raised about $900,000.
35.5%
Polling average
our aggregate
40%
Win probability
market-implied
$873k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho James's money comes from.
B−
62/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance28
14% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding51
49% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure94
$53k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—Member of the Iowa House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$873k
Raised
$633k
Spent
$239k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
14% small (<$200)80% large indiv.6% PAC
51% in-state · 49% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest James is running in.
IA · HOUSE · 2026lean d
James (D) vs Joe Mitchell (R)
35.5%+2.1 James33.5%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to James and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
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Iowa First Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
Democrat · IA-2 U.S. House
Lindsay James
Lindsay James is an American politician and Presbyterian minister serving as a member of the Iowa House of Representatives from the 71st district since 2019. She is a member of the Democratic Party and represents part of Dubuque County. She is running for the 2026 Democratic primary nomination in Iowa's second congressional district, a seat currently held by Representative Ashley Hinson. Hinson is running for the U.S. Senate in 2026.
Where James standsRace →
James 35.5%Joe Mitchell 33.5%
Market · wins
40¢
35.5%
Poll avg
40%
Win prob
$873k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Lindsay James, a Democratic member of the Iowa House of Representatives since 2019 and Presbyterian minister, is running for Congress in Iowa's 2nd district. She leads opponent Joe Mitchell in polling, with about 36% to his 34%. Markets assign her roughly a 40% win probability. She has raised about $900,000.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—Member of the Iowa House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who James's money comes from.
B−
62/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance28
14% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding51
49% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure94
$53k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$873k
Raised
$633k
Spent
$239k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
14% small (<$200)80% large indiv.6% PAC
51% in-state · 49% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.