DemocratRunning for CA-6 U.S. House · 2026
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
Lauren Babb Tomlinson ( Democratic Party ) ran for election to the U.S. House to represent California's 6th Congressional District . She lost in the primary on June 2, 2026 .
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
11%
Polling average
our aggregate
94%
Win probability
market-implied
$472k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Tomlinson's money comes from.
C
43/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — outside-money exposure is the weak spot.
3 watch items · outside-money exposure
Small-dollar reliance40
20% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence32
17% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding77
23% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure22
$1.7M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$472k
Raised
$364k
Spent
$108k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
20% small (<$200)63% large indiv.17% PAC
77% in-state · 23% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Tomlinson is running in.
CA · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Tomlinson (D) vs Kevin Kiley (I)
11%−25.0 Kiley36%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Tomlinson and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
abc7.com · 2026-07-03
Election results 2026: Live updates for the California Primary Election
nytimes.com · 2026-07-01
California Sixth Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
nytimes.com · 2026-06-30
California Sixth Congressional District Primary Election Results
apnews.com · 2026-06-29
California Primary Results 2026: House and Governor
Democrat · CA-6 U.S. House
Lauren Babb Tomlinson
Lauren Babb Tomlinson ( Democratic Party ) ran for election to the U.S. House to represent California's 6th Congressional District . She lost in the primary on June 2, 2026 .
Where Tomlinson standsRace →
Tomlinson 11%Kevin Kiley 36%
Market · wins
94¢
11%
Poll avg
94%
Win prob
$472k
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Tomlinson's money comes from.
C
43/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — outside-money exposure is the weak spot.
3 watch items · outside-money exposure
Small-dollar reliance40
20% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence32
17% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding77
23% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure22
$1.7M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$472k
Raised
$364k
Spent
$108k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
20% small (<$200)63% large indiv.17% PAC
77% in-state · 23% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.