Public domain
RepublicanRunning for NH Governor · 2026
Kelly Ayotte
Kelly Ann Ayotte is an American attorney and politician serving since 2025 as the 83rd governor of New Hampshire . A member of the Republican Party , she served from 2011 to 2017 as a United States senator from New Hampshire and from 2004 to 2009 as the 27th attorney general of New Hampshire .
Born 1968 · Nashua, New Hampshire , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Kelly Ayotte, the Republican governor of New Hampshire since 2025, seeks reelection. A former U.S. senator (2011–2017) and state attorney general (2004–2009), she leads her polling opponent by roughly 5 points (approximately 44% to 39%) and holds around 70% win probability in prediction markets. She has raised roughly $4 million for the race.
44%
Polling average
our aggregate
73%
Win probability
market-implied
+1
Net favorability
latest public poll
$3.7M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Governing & voting record
What Ayotte did in office.
MeasureYearAction
First Responder Anthrax Preparedness Act
Became Public Law No: 114-268.
2015
Became law
Bring Our Heroes Home Act of 2016
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.
2016
Sponsored
Bottles and Breastfeeding Equipment Screening Act
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation.
2016
Sponsored
Responsible Additions and Increases to Sustain Employee Health Benefits Act of 2016
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Finance.
2016
Sponsored
A resolution expressing support for the designation of September 2016 as National Ovarian Cancer Awareness Mon
Resolution agreed to in Senate without amendment and with a preamble by Unanimous Consent.
2016
Sponsored
Women and Lung Cancer Research and Preventive Services Act of 2016
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions.
2016
Sponsored
Christa McAuliffe Commemorative Coin Act of 2016
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs.
2016
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
How Ayotte votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Ayotte
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
68
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 114TH CONGRESS (SENATE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2004Deputy attorney general
2004–2009
2004New Hampshire Attorney General
2004–2009
2011United States senator
2011–2017
2025Governor of New Hampshire
since 2025
Public favorability
10%
Favorable
9%
Unfavorable
+1
Net
12% HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVEN'T HEARD ENOUGH · YOUGOV RATINGS TRACKER · N=1,383 U.S. ADULTS
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$3.7M
Raised
$1.4M
Spent
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-14 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Ayotte is running in.
NH · GOVERNOR · 2026likely r
Ayotte (R) vs Cinde Warmington (D)
44%+5.4 Ayotte38.6%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Ayotte and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Favorability
Published polls
YouGov ratings tracker · n=1,383 U.S. adults
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: (U.S. ARMY NATIONAL GUARD PHOTO BY SGT. KELLY BOYER, 114TH PUBLIC AFFAIRS DETACHMENT) · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
nytimes.com · 2026-07-02
New Hampshire U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
yahoo.com · 2026-06-30
Polls shows New Hampshire governor race in single digits
granitepostnews.com · 2026-06-30
Trump’s approval hits a new low in NH. That’s a problem for Kelly Ayotte.
wmur.com · 2026-06-30
Poll shows new potential presidential candidates surging in New Hampshire
Republican · NH Governor
Kelly Ayotte
Kelly Ann Ayotte is an American attorney and politician serving since 2025 as the 83rd governor of New Hampshire . A member of the Republican Party , she served from 2011 to 2017 as a United States senator from New Hampshire and from 2004 to 2009 as the 27th attorney general of New Hampshire .
Where Ayotte standsRace →
Ayotte 44%Cinde Warmington 38.6%
Market · wins
73¢
+1 net fav
44%
Poll avg
73%
Win prob
+1
Net fav
$3.7M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Kelly Ayotte, the Republican governor of New Hampshire since 2025, seeks reelection. A former U.S. senator (2011–2017) and state attorney general (2004–2009), she leads her polling opponent by roughly 5 points (approximately 44% to 39%) and holds around 70% win probability in prediction markets. She has raised roughly $4 million for the race.
Governing & voting record
First Responder Anthrax Preparedness Act
2015 · BECAME LAW
Bring Our Heroes Home Act of 2016
2016 · SPONSORED
Bottles and Breastfeeding Equipment Screening Act
2016 · SPONSORED
Responsible Additions and Increases to Sustain Employee Health Benefits Act of 2016
2016 · SPONSORED
A resolution expressing support for the designation of September 2016 as National Ovarian Cancer Awareness Mon
2016 · SPONSORED
Women and Lung Cancer Research and Preventive Services Act of 2016
2016 · SPONSORED
Christa McAuliffe Commemorative Coin Act of 2016
2016 · SPONSORED
Where Ayotte stands
AI · from the recordHealth care
Sponsored the Bottles and Breastfeeding Equipment Screening Act, the Women and Lung Cancer Research and Preventive Services Act of 2016, a resolution supporting National Ovarian Cancer Awareness Month, and the Responsible Additions and Increases to Sustain Employee Health Benefits Act of 2016.
Public safety
Sponsored the Bring Our Heroes Home Act of 2016, referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs; record also includes the First Responder Anthrax Preparedness Act, which became Public Law No. 114-268.
Voting record
DW-NOMINATE analysis of her roll-call votes in the 114th Senate scored her ideology at 68 (0 = most liberal, 100 = most conservative), placing her right of the chamber median (50) but left of the Republican median (74), a center-right rating.
Career & history
2004Deputy attorney general
2004–2009
2004New Hampshire Attorney General
2004–2009
2011United States senator
2011–2017
2025Governor of New Hampshire
since 2025
Public favorability
10%
Favorable
9%
Unfavorable
+1
Net
12% HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVEN'T HEARD ENOUGH · YOUGOV RATINGS TRACKER · N=1,383 U.S. ADULTS
How Ayotte votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Ayotte
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
68
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 114TH CONGRESS (SENATE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$3.7M
Raised
$1.4M
Spent
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-14 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Favorability
Published polls
YouGov ratings tracker · n=1,383 U.S. adults
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: (U.S. ARMY NATIONAL GUARD PHOTO BY SGT. KELLY BOYER, 114TH PUBLIC AFFAIRS DETACHMENT) · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)