Public domain
RepublicanRunning for AZ-6 U.S. House · 2026
Juan Ciscomani
Juan Ciscomani III is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Arizona's 6th congressional district since 2023. A Republican, he was a senior adviser to former Governor Doug Ducey and vice chair of the Arizona-Mexico Commission. Ciscomani was chosen to deliver the Republican response to the 2023 State of the Union Address in Spanish.
Born 1982 · Hermosillo , Mexico
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Republican U.S. Representative Juan Ciscomani is seeking reelection in Arizona's 6th congressional district. Since 2023, Ciscomani has served in the House after working as a senior adviser to Governor Doug Ducey and vice chair of the Arizona-Mexico Commission. In polling, he trails opponent JoAnna Mendoza by about two points. He has raised roughly $5 million for the race, with Polymarket data suggesting about a 20% win probability.
45%
Polling average
our aggregate
22%
Win probability
market-implied
$5.1M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Ciscomani's money comes from.
C
40/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance24
12% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
44% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding35
65% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Ciscomani did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Further Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2024
Became Public Law No: 118-47.
2023
Became law
Equitable Access to School Facilities Act
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 586.
2026
Sponsored
Establishing the Veterans Economic Opportunity and Transition Administration Act of 2025
Committee Hearings Held
2025
Sponsored
Vets CLEAR Act
Forwarded by Subcommittee to Full Committee by Voice Vote.
2026
Sponsored
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 13355 North Lon Adams Road in Marana,
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.
2025
Sponsored
FAST Housing Act
Referred to the Committee on Financial Services, and in addition to the Committee on Appropriations, for a period to be subsequently determined by the
2026
Sponsored
Pay Our Homeland Defenders Act
Received in the Senate.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Ciscomani votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Ciscomani
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
65
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 560 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
97%voted with Republicans · 3% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$5.1M
Raised
$1.5M
Spent
$3.8M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
12% small (<$200)44% large indiv.44% PAC
35% in-state · 65% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Ciscomani is running in.
AZ · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Ciscomani (R) vs JoAnna Mendoza (D)
45%−2.0 Mendoza47%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Ciscomani and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES CONGRESS · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
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Republican · AZ-6 U.S. House
Juan Ciscomani
Juan Ciscomani III is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Arizona's 6th congressional district since 2023. A Republican, he was a senior adviser to former Governor Doug Ducey and vice chair of the Arizona-Mexico Commission. Ciscomani was chosen to deliver the Republican response to the 2023 State of the Union Address in Spanish.
Where Ciscomani standsRace →
Ciscomani 45%JoAnna Mendoza 47%
Market · wins
22¢
45%
Poll avg
22%
Win prob
$5.1M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Republican U.S. Representative Juan Ciscomani is seeking reelection in Arizona's 6th congressional district. Since 2023, Ciscomani has served in the House after working as a senior adviser to Governor Doug Ducey and vice chair of the Arizona-Mexico Commission. In polling, he trails opponent JoAnna Mendoza by about two points. He has raised roughly $5 million for the race, with Polymarket data suggesting about a 20% win probability.
Governing & voting record
Further Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2024
2023 · BECAME LAW
Equitable Access to School Facilities Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Establishing the Veterans Economic Opportunity and Transition Administration Act of 2025
2025 · SPONSORED
Vets CLEAR Act
2026 · SPONSORED
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 13355 North Lon Adams Road in Marana,
2025 · SPONSORED
FAST Housing Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Pay Our Homeland Defenders Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Ciscomani's money comes from.
C
40/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance24
12% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
44% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding35
65% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Ciscomani votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Ciscomani
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
65
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 560 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
97%voted with Republicans · 3% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$5.1M
Raised
$1.5M
Spent
$3.8M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
12% small (<$200)44% large indiv.44% PAC
35% in-state · 65% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES CONGRESS · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)