CC BY-SA 4.0
DemocratRunning for AZ-2 U.S. House · 2026
Jonathan Nez
Jonathan Nez is a Navajo politician who served as the 9th President of the Navajo Nation from 2019 to 2023. He previously served as Vice President and as a Navajo Nation Council delegate.
Born 1975 · Tuba City , Arizona , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Jonathan Nez, former President of the Navajo Nation from 2019 to 2023, is running for Arizona's 2nd Congressional District seat. In polling, he trails with roughly 41% support compared to about 44% for his opponent. Market data implies approximately a 40% win probability. He has raised about $2 million for his campaign. Nez previously served as Vice President of the Navajo Nation from 2015 to 2019.
41%
Polling average
our aggregate
38%
Win probability
market-implied
$2.3M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Nez's money comes from.
B+
72/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance92
46% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding21
79% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$4k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2014Member of the Navajo Nation Council
2014–2015
2015Vice President of the Navajo Nation
2015–2019
2019President of the Navajo Nation
2019–2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$2.3M
Raised
$1.0M
Spent
$1.4M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
46% small (<$200)48% large indiv.6% PAC
21% in-state · 79% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Nez is running in.
AZ · HOUSE · 2026lean r
Nez (D) vs Eli Crane (R)
41%−3.0 Crane44%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Nez and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: WIKIUSER159597 · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
azfamily.com · 2026-07-05
‘No Safe Seats’ targets Arizona Democrats. Here’s what the campaign means
kjzz.org · 2026-07-01
Arizona candidate picked centrism over democratic socialism. Will it work with primary voters?
azcentral.com · 2026-07-01
Who is running for US House of Representatives in Arizona in 2026?
aol.com · 2026-06-30
Arizona LD3 primaries feature crowded GOP House, Senate races
Democrat · AZ-2 U.S. House
Jonathan Nez
Jonathan Nez is a Navajo politician who served as the 9th President of the Navajo Nation from 2019 to 2023. He previously served as Vice President and as a Navajo Nation Council delegate.
Where Nez standsRace →
Nez 41%Eli Crane 44%
Market · wins
38¢
41%
Poll avg
38%
Win prob
$2.3M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Jonathan Nez, former President of the Navajo Nation from 2019 to 2023, is running for Arizona's 2nd Congressional District seat. In polling, he trails with roughly 41% support compared to about 44% for his opponent. Market data implies approximately a 40% win probability. He has raised about $2 million for his campaign. Nez previously served as Vice President of the Navajo Nation from 2015 to 2019.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2014Member of the Navajo Nation Council
2014–2015
2015Vice President of the Navajo Nation
2015–2019
2019President of the Navajo Nation
2019–2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Nez's money comes from.
B+
72/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance92
46% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding21
79% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$4k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$2.3M
Raised
$1.0M
Spent
$1.4M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
46% small (<$200)48% large indiv.6% PAC
21% in-state · 79% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: WIKIUSER159597 · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)