CC BY 4.0
RepublicanRunning for WA-3 U.S. House · 2026
John Braun
John Eric Braun is an American politician from Washington. A Republican, Braun is in the Washington State Senate, representing the 20th legislative district.
Born 1967 · Columbus, Ohio , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Washington State Senator John Braun, a member of the state Senate since 2013, is running for U.S. House in Washington's 3rd district. He's raised about $1.2 million for the race. In polling, he and his opponent are effectively tied—Braun at roughly 38%, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez at about 37%. Polymarket gives him approximately 20% odds of winning.
38.3%
Polling average
our aggregate
18%
Win probability
market-implied
$1.2M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Braun's money comes from.
B
70/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance18
9% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence72
7% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding91
9% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2013Member of the Washington State Senate
since 2013
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$1.2M
Raised
$279k
Spent
$956k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
9% small (<$200)84% large indiv.7% PAC
91% in-state · 9% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Braun is running in.
WA · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Braun (R) vs Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)
38.3%+1.6 Braun36.7%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Braun and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: TROY KIRBY · CC BY 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · WA-3 U.S. House
John Braun
John Eric Braun is an American politician from Washington. A Republican, Braun is in the Washington State Senate, representing the 20th legislative district.
Where Braun standsRace →
Braun 38.3%Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 36.7%
Market · wins
18¢
38.3%
Poll avg
18%
Win prob
$1.2M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Washington State Senator John Braun, a member of the state Senate since 2013, is running for U.S. House in Washington's 3rd district. He's raised about $1.2 million for the race. In polling, he and his opponent are effectively tied—Braun at roughly 38%, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez at about 37%. Polymarket gives him approximately 20% odds of winning.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2013Member of the Washington State Senate
since 2013
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Braun's money comes from.
B
70/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance18
9% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence72
7% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding91
9% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$1.2M
Raised
$279k
Spent
$956k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
9% small (<$200)84% large indiv.7% PAC
91% in-state · 9% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: TROY KIRBY · CC BY 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)