RepublicanRunning for IA-2 U.S. House · 2026
Joe Mitchell
Joe Mitchell is an American business owner and politician from the state of Iowa. He served in the Iowa House of Representatives from 2019 to 2023. Sworn in at the age of 21, Mitchell was the youngest person to ever be elected to the Iowa House. He is the Republican nominee in the 2026 election in Iowa's 2nd congressional district.
Born 1997 · Wayland, Iowa , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Joe Mitchell is a Republican business owner running for Iowa's 2nd congressional district seat. He previously served in the Iowa House of Representatives from 2019 to 2023, elected at age 21 as the chamber's youngest member. After winning his primary, he trails opponent Lindsay James in polls—roughly 34% to 36%—though market data suggests about a 60% win probability. He has raised about $1.6 million.
33.5%
Polling average
our aggregate
56%
Win probability
market-implied
$1.6M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Mitchell's money comes from.
C+
49/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
3 watch items · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance34
17% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence36
16% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding26
74% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure99
$12k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—Member of the Iowa House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$1.6M
Raised
$683k
Spent
$878k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
17% small (<$200)67% large indiv.16% PAC
26% in-state · 74% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Mitchell is running in.
IA · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Mitchell (R) vs Lindsay James (D)
33.5%−2.1 James35.5%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Mitchell and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
upolitics.com · 2026-07-02
Democratic Senate Nominee Josh Turek Leading In Iowa Senate Race With Republican Weighed Down By Trump, New...
nytimes.com · 2026-07-02
Iowa U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
thehill.com · 2026-07-02
Democrat Josh Turek leading by 4 points in Iowa Senate race polling
nytimes.com · 2026-06-30
Iowa First Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
Republican · IA-2 U.S. House
Joe Mitchell
Joe Mitchell is an American business owner and politician from the state of Iowa. He served in the Iowa House of Representatives from 2019 to 2023. Sworn in at the age of 21, Mitchell was the youngest person to ever be elected to the Iowa House. He is the Republican nominee in the 2026 election in Iowa's 2nd congressional district.
Where Mitchell standsRace →
Mitchell 33.5%Lindsay James 35.5%
Market · wins
56¢
33.5%
Poll avg
56%
Win prob
$1.6M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Joe Mitchell is a Republican business owner running for Iowa's 2nd congressional district seat. He previously served in the Iowa House of Representatives from 2019 to 2023, elected at age 21 as the chamber's youngest member. After winning his primary, he trails opponent Lindsay James in polls—roughly 34% to 36%—though market data suggests about a 60% win probability. He has raised about $1.6 million.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—Member of the Iowa House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Mitchell's money comes from.
C+
49/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
3 watch items · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance34
17% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence36
16% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding26
74% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure99
$12k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$1.6M
Raised
$683k
Spent
$878k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
17% small (<$200)67% large indiv.16% PAC
26% in-state · 74% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.