Public domain
DemocratRunning for AZ-6 U.S. House · 2026
JoAnna Mendoza
The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections will be on July 21, 2026.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
JoAnna Mendoza, a Democrat, is running for U.S. House in Arizona's 6th district in 2026. She leads opponent Juan Ciscomani in polling, with about 47% to his 45%, and prediction markets assign her about an 80% win probability. Mendoza has raised approximately $5 million for her campaign.
47%
Polling average
our aggregate
78%
Win probability
market-implied
$5.3M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Mendoza's money comes from.
B
69/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance92
46% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence68
8% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding15
85% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$263 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$5.3M
Raised
$1.8M
Spent
$3.5M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
46% small (<$200)46% large indiv.8% PAC
15% in-state · 85% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Mendoza is running in.
AZ · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Mendoza (D) vs Juan Ciscomani (R)
47%+2.0 Mendoza45%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Mendoza and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
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nytimes.com · 2026-06-26
Arizona Second Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
azcentral.com · 2026-06-26
Arizona 5th Congressional District candidates. Where they stand on issues
azcentral.com · 2026-06-25
4 Democrats vie for 2 safe seats in Arizona’s LD21 House race
Democrat · AZ-6 U.S. House
JoAnna Mendoza
The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections will be on July 21, 2026.
Where Mendoza standsRace →
Mendoza 47%Juan Ciscomani 45%
Market · wins
78¢
47%
Poll avg
78%
Win prob
$5.3M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03JoAnna Mendoza, a Democrat, is running for U.S. House in Arizona's 6th district in 2026. She leads opponent Juan Ciscomani in polling, with about 47% to his 45%, and prediction markets assign her about an 80% win probability. Mendoza has raised approximately $5 million for her campaign.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Mendoza's money comes from.
B
69/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance92
46% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence68
8% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding15
85% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$263 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$5.3M
Raised
$1.8M
Spent
$3.5M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
46% small (<$200)46% large indiv.8% PAC
15% in-state · 85% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)