Public domain
RepublicanRunning for NJ-2 U.S. House · 2026
Jeff Van Drew
Jefferson H. Van Drew is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for New Jersey's 2nd congressional district since 2019. He was first elected as a Democrat and later switched to the Republican Party in 2020.
Born 1953 · New York City , New York , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
U.S. Representative for New Jersey's 2nd District since 2019, Jeff Van Drew won the Republican primary for 2026 after switching from the Democratic Party in 2020. Polling at about 46%, he's priced by Polymarket at roughly a 70% win probability. He has raised approximately $1.7 million and previously served in the New Jersey General Assembly (2002–2008) and State Senate (2008–2019).
46%
Polling average
our aggregate
71%
Win probability
market-implied
$1.7M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Drew's money comes from.
B−
58/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
2 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance24
12% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence32
17% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding77
23% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Drew did in office.
MeasureYearAction
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 1087 Route 47 South in Rio Grande, Ne
Became Public Law No: 118-243.
2024
Became law
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at Block 1025, Lots 18 & 19, Northeast C
Became Public Law No: 118-244.
2024
Became law
Military Pension Protection Act
Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.
2026
Sponsored
Agent Orange Service Medal Act
Referred to the House Committee on Armed Services.
2026
Sponsored
STOP RGGI Act
Referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.
2026
Sponsored
IDA Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Education and Workforce.
2026
Sponsored
TRICARE Fairness for National Guard and Reserve Retirees Act
Referred to the House Committee on Armed Services.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Drew votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Drew
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
69
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 586 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
95%voted with Republicans · 5% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2002Member of the New Jersey General Assembly
2002–2008
2008Member of the State Senate of New Jersey
2008–2019
2019United States representative
since 2019
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$1.7M
Raised
$1.1M
Spent
$1.4M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
12% small (<$200)71% large indiv.17% PAC
77% in-state · 23% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Drew and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: OFFICE OF CONGRESSMAN JEFF VAN DREW · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
nytimes.com · 2026-07-02
New Jersey Eighth Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
nytimes.com · 2026-06-24
New Jersey 12th Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
nytimes.com · 2026-06-23
New Jersey Seventh Congressional District Primary Election Results
nytimes.com · 2026-06-23
New Jersey 12th Congressional District Primary Election Results
Republican · NJ-2 U.S. House
Jeff Van Drew
Jefferson H. Van Drew is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for New Jersey's 2nd congressional district since 2019. He was first elected as a Democrat and later switched to the Republican Party in 2020.
Where Drew standsRace →
Drew 46%
Market · wins
71¢
46%
Poll avg
71%
Win prob
$1.7M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03U.S. Representative for New Jersey's 2nd District since 2019, Jeff Van Drew won the Republican primary for 2026 after switching from the Democratic Party in 2020. Polling at about 46%, he's priced by Polymarket at roughly a 70% win probability. He has raised approximately $1.7 million and previously served in the New Jersey General Assembly (2002–2008) and State Senate (2008–2019).
Governing & voting record
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 1087 Route 47 South in Rio Grande, Ne
2024 · BECAME LAW
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at Block 1025, Lots 18 & 19, Northeast C
2024 · BECAME LAW
Military Pension Protection Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Agent Orange Service Medal Act
2026 · SPONSORED
STOP RGGI Act
2026 · SPONSORED
IDA Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
TRICARE Fairness for National Guard and Reserve Retirees Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2002Member of the New Jersey General Assembly
2002–2008
2008Member of the State Senate of New Jersey
2008–2019
2019United States representative
since 2019
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Drew's money comes from.
B−
58/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
2 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance24
12% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence32
17% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding77
23% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Drew votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Drew
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
69
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 586 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
95%voted with Republicans · 5% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$1.7M
Raised
$1.1M
Spent
$1.4M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
12% small (<$200)71% large indiv.17% PAC
77% in-state · 23% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-13 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: OFFICE OF CONGRESSMAN JEFF VAN DREW · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)