Public domain
RepublicanRunning for CO-3 U.S. House · 2026
Jeff Hurd
Jeffrey Stephen Hurd is an American politician and lawyer from Colorado. A Republican, he is the member for Colorado's 3rd congressional district in the United States House of Representatives.
Born 1979 · Grand Junction, Colorado , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Jeff Hurd, a Republican lawyer and U.S. Representative from Colorado's 3rd congressional district since 2025, is running for re-election. He leads opponent Alex Kelloff in polling at about 46% to roughly 41%. Markets assign him approximately a 70% win probability, and he has raised about $3 million for his campaign.
46.1%
Polling average
our aggregate
68%
Win probability
market-implied
$3.3M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Hurd's money comes from.
C−
39/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — small-dollar reliance is the weak spot.
3 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence12
22% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding42
58% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure97
$116k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Hurd did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Wetlands Conservation and Access Improvement Act of 2025
Became Public Law No: 119-40.
2025
Became law
Recreation Permitting Improvement Act
Subcommittee Hearings Held
2026
Sponsored
SPIRIT Act
Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.
2026
Sponsored
Snow Water Supply Forecasting Reauthorization Act of 2025
Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. Ordered to be reported with an amendment in the nature of a substitute favorably.
2025
Sponsored
Tribal Regulatory Reform Implementation Act of 2026
Subcommittee Hearings Held
2026
Sponsored
Crystal Reservoir Conveyance Act
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources.
2025
Sponsored
Geothermal Energy Advancement Act
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources.
2025
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Hurd votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Hurd
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
66
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 589 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
97%voted with Republicans · 3% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2025United States representative
since 2025
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$3.3M
Raised
$1.7M
Spent
$1.6M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)75% large indiv.22% PAC
42% in-state · 58% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-10 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Hurd is running in.
CO · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Hurd (R) vs Alex Kelloff (D)
46.1%+5.2 Hurd40.9%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Hurd and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: CLERK OF THE U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · CO-3 U.S. House
Jeff Hurd
Jeffrey Stephen Hurd is an American politician and lawyer from Colorado. A Republican, he is the member for Colorado's 3rd congressional district in the United States House of Representatives.
Where Hurd standsRace →
Hurd 46.1%Alex Kelloff 40.9%
Market · wins
68¢
46.1%
Poll avg
68%
Win prob
$3.3M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Jeff Hurd, a Republican lawyer and U.S. Representative from Colorado's 3rd congressional district since 2025, is running for re-election. He leads opponent Alex Kelloff in polling at about 46% to roughly 41%. Markets assign him approximately a 70% win probability, and he has raised about $3 million for his campaign.
Governing & voting record
Wetlands Conservation and Access Improvement Act of 2025
2025 · BECAME LAW
Recreation Permitting Improvement Act
2026 · SPONSORED
SPIRIT Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Snow Water Supply Forecasting Reauthorization Act of 2025
2025 · SPONSORED
Tribal Regulatory Reform Implementation Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Crystal Reservoir Conveyance Act
2025 · SPONSORED
Geothermal Energy Advancement Act
2025 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2025United States representative
since 2025
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Hurd's money comes from.
C−
39/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — small-dollar reliance is the weak spot.
3 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence12
22% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding42
58% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure97
$116k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Hurd votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Hurd
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
66
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 589 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
97%voted with Republicans · 3% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$3.3M
Raised
$1.7M
Spent
$1.6M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)75% large indiv.22% PAC
42% in-state · 58% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-10 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: CLERK OF THE U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)