Public domain
DemocratRunning for NC-11 U.S. House · 2026
Jamie Ager
The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the State of North Carolina, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on March 3, 2026, and if there was races where no candidate receives over 30% in a primary, runoff elections would take place on May 12.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Jamie Ager, a Democrat, won North Carolina's 11th District primary and is running for the U.S. House seat in 2026. In general-election polling, Ager and opponent Chuck Edwards are effectively tied, with Ager at about 45% and Edwards at roughly 44%. Polymarket currently assigns Ager about a 60% win probability. Ager has raised roughly $1.7 million for the race.
45%
Polling average
our aggregate
55%
Win probability
market-implied
$1.7M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Ager's money comes from.
B
65/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance40
20% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence68
8% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding52
48% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$43 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$1.7M
Raised
$576k
Spent
$1.1M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
20% small (<$200)72% large indiv.8% PAC
52% in-state · 48% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Ager is running in.
NC · HOUSE · 2026lean r
Ager (D) vs Chuck Edwards (R)
45%+1.0 Ager44%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Ager and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: NC DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
bpr.org · 2026-07-02
Edwards vs. Ager 11th District contest could be toss-up by November, experts say
nytimes.com · 2026-07-01
North Carolina First Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
nytimes.com · 2026-06-26
North Carolina 14th Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
nytimes.com · 2026-06-24
North Carolina U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
Democrat · NC-11 U.S. House
Jamie Ager
The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the State of North Carolina, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on March 3, 2026, and if there was races where no candidate receives over 30% in a primary, runoff elections would take place on May 12.
Where Ager standsRace →
Ager 45%Chuck Edwards 44%
Market · wins
55¢
45%
Poll avg
55%
Win prob
$1.7M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Jamie Ager, a Democrat, won North Carolina's 11th District primary and is running for the U.S. House seat in 2026. In general-election polling, Ager and opponent Chuck Edwards are effectively tied, with Ager at about 45% and Edwards at roughly 44%. Polymarket currently assigns Ager about a 60% win probability. Ager has raised roughly $1.7 million for the race.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Ager's money comes from.
B
65/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance40
20% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence68
8% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding52
48% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$43 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$1.7M
Raised
$576k
Spent
$1.1M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
20% small (<$200)72% large indiv.8% PAC
52% in-state · 48% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: NC DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)