RepublicanRunning for FL Governor · 2026
James Fishback
James Fishback ( Republican Party ) is running for election for Governor of Florida . He declared candidacy for the Republican primary scheduled on August 18, 2026 . [source]
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Republican James Fishback is running for Governor of Florida. He is competing in the Republican primary against Byron Donalds, currently drawing about 44% of polling support to Donalds' roughly 46%. Market traders estimate his win probability at around 80%, reflecting the race's overall Republican lean.
44%
Polling average
our aggregate
82%
Win probability
market-implied
Governing & voting record
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No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
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No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
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No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
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No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race
The contest Fishback is running in.
FL · GOVERNOR · 2026lean r
Fishback (R) vs Byron Donalds (R)
44%−1.7 Donalds45.7%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Fishback and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
flvoicenews.com · 2026-07-06
Sen. Jason Brodeur endorses Byron Donalds for Florida governor
tampabay.com · 2026-07-06
DeSantis allies break away, endorse Byron Donalds for Florida governor
wptv.com · 2026-07-06
Absent frontrunner Byron Donalds dominates Florida GOP governor debate he skipped
politico.com · 2026-07-05
A Jolly campaign in Florida amid an angry Democratic summer
Republican · FL Governor
James Fishback
James Fishback ( Republican Party ) is running for election for Governor of Florida . He declared candidacy for the Republican primary scheduled on August 18, 2026 . [source]
Where Fishback standsRace →
Fishback 44%Byron Donalds 45.7%
Market · wins
82¢
44%
Poll avg
82%
Win prob
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Republican James Fishback is running for Governor of Florida. He is competing in the Republican primary against Byron Donalds, currently drawing about 44% of polling support to Donalds' roughly 46%. Market traders estimate his win probability at around 80%, reflecting the race's overall Republican lean.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
—
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Sources & provenance
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.