Public domain
RepublicanRunning for TX-6 U.S. House · 2026
Jake Ellzey
John Kevin "Jake" Ellzey Sr. is an American politician and former military officer serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 6th congressional district since 2021. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as a member of the Texas House of Representatives for the 10th district from January to July 2021. He served in the United States Navy as a fighter pilot, completing tours in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Born 1970 · Amarillo, Texas , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
92%
Win probability
market-implied
$3.7M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Ellzey's money comes from.
C
41/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance42
21% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
31% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding24
76% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure99
$34k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Ellzey did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Condemning the recent attacks on U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and U.S. Customs and Border Protecti
Referred to the Committee on Homeland Security, and in addition to the Committees on the Judiciary, and Ways and Means, for a period to be subsequentl
2025
Sponsored
Supporting the goals and ideals of Red Ribbon Week during the period of October 23 through October 31, 2025.
Referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.
2025
Sponsored
To designate the National Memorial Day Parade, and for other purposes.
Referred to the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, and in addition to the Committee on Armed Services, for a period to be subsequently dete
2025
Sponsored
Apprenticeship Infrastructure Tax Credit Act of 2025
Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.
2025
Sponsored
Encouraging Success Act
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship.
2023
Sponsored
To permit the remains of any Medal of Honor recipient to lie in honor in the rotunda of the United States Capi
Referred to the House Committee on House Administration.
2023
Sponsored
Supporting the goals and ideals of Red Ribbon Week during the period of October 23 through October 31, 2023.
Referred to the Subcommittee on Health.
2023
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Ellzey votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Ellzey
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
76
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 583 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2021United States representative
since 2021
—Member of the Texas House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$3.7M
Raised
$2.7M
Spent
$2.1M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
21% small (<$200)48% large indiv.31% PAC
24% in-state · 76% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Ellzey and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
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foxnews.com · 2026-06-30
Shock poll: Talarico ties Paxton in Texas Senate race, threatening GOP stronghold
politico.com · 2026-06-30
Talarico and Paxton tied in latest Texas Senate poll
ms.now · 2026-06-30
Tuesday’s Campaign Round-Up, 6.30.26: Poll shows Talarico and Paxton tied in Texas
Republican · TX-6 U.S. House
Jake Ellzey
John Kevin "Jake" Ellzey Sr. is an American politician and former military officer serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 6th congressional district since 2021. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as a member of the Texas House of Representatives for the 10th district from January to July 2021. He served in the United States Navy as a fighter pilot, completing tours in Afghanistan and Iraq.
92%
Win prob
$3.7M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
Condemning the recent attacks on U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and U.S. Customs and Border Protecti
2025 · SPONSORED
Supporting the goals and ideals of Red Ribbon Week during the period of October 23 through October 31, 2025.
2025 · SPONSORED
To designate the National Memorial Day Parade, and for other purposes.
2025 · SPONSORED
Apprenticeship Infrastructure Tax Credit Act of 2025
2025 · SPONSORED
Encouraging Success Act
2023 · SPONSORED
To permit the remains of any Medal of Honor recipient to lie in honor in the rotunda of the United States Capi
2023 · SPONSORED
Supporting the goals and ideals of Red Ribbon Week during the period of October 23 through October 31, 2023.
2023 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2021United States representative
since 2021
—Member of the Texas House of Representatives
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Ellzey's money comes from.
C
41/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance42
21% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
31% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding24
76% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure99
$34k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Ellzey votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Ellzey
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
76
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 583 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$3.7M
Raised
$2.7M
Spent
$2.1M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
21% small (<$200)48% large indiv.31% PAC
24% in-state · 76% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)