Public domain
DemocratRunning for MI U.S. Senate · 2026
Haley Stevens
Haley Maria Stevens (born June 24, 1983) is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative from Michigan's 11th congressional district since 2019. A member of the Democratic Party , Stevens represents most of urbanized Oakland County , including many of Detroit 's northern suburbs. She is currently a candidate in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan .
Born 1983 · Rochester Hills, Michigan , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
43.7%
Polling average
our aggregate
14%
Win probability
market-implied
$8.9M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Stevens's money comes from.
C−
38/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — in-state funding is the weak spot.
3 watch items · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance28
14% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence68
8% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding24
76% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure31
$19.3M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Stevens did in office.
MeasureYearAction
To designate the Department of Veterans Affairs community-based outpatient clinic located in Canton, Michigan,
Became Public Law No: 117-237.
2022
Became law
Protect Local Funding Act
Referred to the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform.
2026
Sponsored
Secure Aluminum Supply Chains Act
Referred to the House Committee on Foreign Affairs.
2026
Sponsored
Protecting America from Chinese Cars Act of 2026
Referred to the Committee on Ways and Means, and in addition to the Committee on Homeland Security, for a period to be subsequently determined by the
2026
Sponsored
Keep Illegal Handguns Out of the Mail Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform.
2026
Sponsored
Build to Scale Reauthorization Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology.
2026
Sponsored
Homeownership Savings Act
Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
How Stevens votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Stevens
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
32
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 589 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
96%voted with Democrats · 4% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2019United States representative
since 2019
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$8.9M
Raised
$5.5M
Spent
$3.4M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
14% small (<$200)78% large indiv.8% PAC
24% in-state · 76% out-of-state (itemized)
Top contributors · bundled by employer / org
BLACKSTONE
$31k
NYMAN TURKISH PC
$21k
BROWNSTEIN HYATT FARBER SCHRECK, LLP
$19k
INVARIANT
$19k
GIBSON, DUNN & CRUTCHER, LLP
$15k
NYMAN TURKISH, PC
$14k
Top industries · itemized $
Lawyers / law firms$34k
Securities & investment$31k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Stevens is running in.
MI · SENATE · 2026tilt d
Stevens (D) vs Abdul El-Sayed (D)
43.7%−1.2 El-Sayed44.9%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Stevens and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Republican
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Democrat
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $4k · Abdul El-Sayed
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · Mallory McMorrow
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $1k · Haley Stevens
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $1k · Mike Rogers
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES CONGRESS · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
bridgemi.com · 2026-07-06
El-Sayed vs. Stevens: What to know about Michigan’s most interesting primary
thehill.com · 2026-07-06
Michigan Democratic Senate primary narrows to one-on-one matchup
nytimes.com · 2026-07-06
Michigan Senate Primary Gives Democrats Stark Choice Between Progressive and Moderate Candidate
washingtonpost.com · 2026-07-06
Mallory McMorrow drops out of Democratic primary for Michigan Senate seat
Democrat · MI U.S. Senate
Haley Stevens
Haley Maria Stevens (born June 24, 1983) is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative from Michigan's 11th congressional district since 2019. A member of the Democratic Party , Stevens represents most of urbanized Oakland County , including many of Detroit 's northern suburbs. She is currently a candidate in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan .
Where Stevens standsRace →
Stevens 43.7%Abdul El-Sayed 44.9%
Market · wins
14¢
43.7%
Poll avg
14%
Win prob
$8.9M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
To designate the Department of Veterans Affairs community-based outpatient clinic located in Canton, Michigan,
2022 · BECAME LAW
Protect Local Funding Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Secure Aluminum Supply Chains Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Protecting America from Chinese Cars Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Keep Illegal Handguns Out of the Mail Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Build to Scale Reauthorization Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Homeownership Savings Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Where Stevens stands
AI · from the recordGun policy
Sponsored the Keep Illegal Handguns Out of the Mail Act of 2026.
Trade and manufacturing
Sponsored the Secure Aluminum Supply Chains Act and the Protecting America from Chinese Cars Act of 2026.
Housing
Sponsored the Homeownership Savings Act.
Science and innovation
Sponsored the Build to Scale Reauthorization Act of 2026.
Party independence
Votes with the Democratic party about 96% of the time, with breaks on the remainder of 589 roll-calls in the 119th Congress.
Career & history
2019United States representative
since 2019
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Stevens's money comes from.
C−
38/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — in-state funding is the weak spot.
3 watch items · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance28
14% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence68
8% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding24
76% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure31
$19.3M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Stevens votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Stevens
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
32
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 589 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
96%voted with Democrats · 4% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$8.9M
Raised
$5.5M
Spent
$3.4M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
14% small (<$200)78% large indiv.8% PAC
24% in-state · 76% out-of-state (itemized)
Top industries · itemized $
Lawyers / law firms$34k
Securities & investment$31k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Republican
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Democrat
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $4k · Abdul El-Sayed
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · Mallory McMorrow
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $1k · Haley Stevens
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $1k · Mike Rogers
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES CONGRESS · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)