Public domain
RepublicanRunning for KY-5 U.S. House · 2026
Hal Rogers
Harold Dallas Rogers is an American lawyer and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Kentucky's 5th congressional district since 1981. He is a member of the Republican Party. Upon Don Young's death in 2022, Rogers became the dean of the House of Representatives.
Born 1937 · Barrier, Kentucky , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
94%
Win probability
market-implied
$748k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Rogers's money comes from.
C
41/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — small-dollar reliance is the weak spot.
2 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance0
0% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
40% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding65
35% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Rogers did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Making further continuing appropriations for fiscal year 2016, and for other purposes.
Became Public Law No: 114-100.
2015
Became law
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2015
Became Public Law No: 114-4.
2015
Became law
Making further continuing appropriations for fiscal year 2015, and for other purposes.
Became Public Law No: 113-203.
2014
Became law
Making further continuing appropriations for fiscal year 2015, and for other purposes.
Became Public Law No: 113-202.
2014
Became law
Continuing Appropriations Resolution, 2015
Became Public Law No: 113-164.
2014
Became law
Veterans Access, Choice, and Accountability Act of 2014
Became Public Law No: 113-146.
2013
Became law
Making further continuing appropriations for fiscal year 2014, and for other purposes.
Became Public Law No: 113-73.
2014
Became law
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Rogers votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Rogers
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
67
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 581 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
1976Delegate
since 1976
1981United States representative
since 1981
—Commonwealth's Attorney
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$748k
Raised
$859k
Spent
$860k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
0% small (<$200)60% large indiv.40% PAC
65% in-state · 35% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-29 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Rogers and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · KY-5 U.S. House
Hal Rogers
Harold Dallas Rogers is an American lawyer and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Kentucky's 5th congressional district since 1981. He is a member of the Republican Party. Upon Don Young's death in 2022, Rogers became the dean of the House of Representatives.
94%
Win prob
$748k
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
Making further continuing appropriations for fiscal year 2016, and for other purposes.
2015 · BECAME LAW
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2015
2015 · BECAME LAW
Making further continuing appropriations for fiscal year 2015, and for other purposes.
2014 · BECAME LAW
Making further continuing appropriations for fiscal year 2015, and for other purposes.
2014 · BECAME LAW
Continuing Appropriations Resolution, 2015
2014 · BECAME LAW
Veterans Access, Choice, and Accountability Act of 2014
2013 · BECAME LAW
Making further continuing appropriations for fiscal year 2014, and for other purposes.
2014 · BECAME LAW
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
1976Delegate
since 1976
1981United States representative
since 1981
—Commonwealth's Attorney
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Rogers's money comes from.
C
41/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — small-dollar reliance is the weak spot.
2 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance0
0% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
40% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding65
35% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Rogers votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Rogers
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
67
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 581 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
98%voted with Republicans · 2% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$748k
Raised
$859k
Spent
$860k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
0% small (<$200)60% large indiv.40% PAC
65% in-state · 35% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-29 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)