NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Photo of Greg CunninghamR
CC0
RepublicanRunning for NM-2 U.S. House · 2026

Greg Cunningham

Gregory Richard Cunningham is an Irish professional coach and former footballer who is the current manager of FAI National League club Salthill Devon. During his career he played as a defender for Manchester City, Leicester City, Nottingham Forest, Bristol City, Preston North End, Cardiff City, Blackburn Rovers and Galway United.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

**Data quality alert:** This source data appears corrupted or mismatched—the biographical profile describes an Irish football coach and player, not a U.S. politician. This doesn't match a New Mexico House candidate. Could you verify the source data? If proceeding as-is with the provided data: --- Republican Greg Cunningham won the primary for New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District. The Irish professional coach and former footballer trails Democrat Gabe Vasquez in polling, roughly 38% to 46%. With about $700,000 raised, Cunningham holds approximately a 20% market-implied win probability heading into the November 2026 general election. --- **Word count:** 54 words **Issue:** The identity/biography data doesn't align with a U.S. House candidate profile. If this candidate has actual U.S. political background, please provide the correct source data.

38.3%
Polling average
our aggregate
16%
Win probability
market-implied
$679k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mix

Who Cunningham's money comes from.

B+
72/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance30
15% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding80
20% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date

Who funds the campaign.

$679k
Raised
$329k
Spent
$349k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
15% small (<$200)79% large indiv.6% PAC
80% in-state · 20% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-10 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race

The contest Cunningham is running in.

NM · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Cunningham (R) vs Gabe Vasquez (D)
38.3%−7.4 Vasquez45.7%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Cunningham and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: PRESTON NORTH END F.C. · CC0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
N
nytimes.com · 2026-06-26
New Mexico Governor Election 2026: Latest Polls
N
nytimes.com · 2026-06-24
New Mexico Primary Election Results
A
apnews.com · 2026-06-24
New Mexico Primary Results 2026: Senate, House and Governor
A
apnews.com · 2026-06-24
New Mexico U.S. House Primary Election Live Results 2026
Photo of Greg CunninghamR
Republican · NM-2 U.S. House

Greg Cunningham

Gregory Richard Cunningham is an Irish professional coach and former footballer who is the current manager of FAI National League club Salthill Devon. During his career he played as a defender for Manchester City, Leicester City, Nottingham Forest, Bristol City, Preston North End, Cardiff City, Blackburn Rovers and Galway United.

Where Cunningham standsRace →
Cunningham 38.3%Gabe Vasquez 45.7%
Market · wins
16¢
38.3%
Poll avg
16%
Win prob
$679k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04

**Data quality alert:** This source data appears corrupted or mismatched—the biographical profile describes an Irish football coach and player, not a U.S. politician. This doesn't match a New Mexico House candidate. Could you verify the source data? If proceeding as-is with the provided data: --- Republican Greg Cunningham won the primary for New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District. The Irish professional coach and former footballer trails Democrat Gabe Vasquez in polling, roughly 38% to 46%. With about $700,000 raised, Cunningham holds approximately a 20% market-implied win probability heading into the November 2026 general election. --- **Word count:** 54 words **Issue:** The identity/biography data doesn't align with a U.S. House candidate profile. If this candidate has actual U.S. political background, please provide the correct source data.

Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard

Who Cunningham's money comes from.

B+
72/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance30
15% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence76
6% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding80
20% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$679k
Raised
$329k
Spent
$349k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
15% small (<$200)79% large indiv.6% PAC
80% in-state · 20% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-10 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
NM · HOUSE · 2026lean d
Cunningham (R) vs Gabe Vasquez (D)
38.3%−7.4 Vasquez45.7%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: PRESTON NORTH END F.C. · CC0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)