Public domain
RepublicanRunning for WI-6 U.S. House · 2026
Glenn Grothman
Glenn Sholes Grothman is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 6th congressional district. A member of the Republican Party, he was first elected to his seat in 2014.
Born 1955 · Milwaukee , Wisconsin , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Glenn Grothman, an attorney and former Wisconsin state legislator who has served in the U.S. House since 2015, is seeking the WI-6 House seat. In polling, he leads opponent Michael Thurow with roughly 59% to about 45%, and market odds imply about an 80% win probability. Grothman has raised approximately $600,000 for the 2026 race.
59%
Polling average
our aggregate
85%
Win probability
market-implied
$635k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Grothman's money comes from.
C+
52/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance22
11% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
31% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding85
15% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Grothman did in office.
MeasureYearAction
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 220 Fremont Street in Kiel, Wisconsin
Became Public Law No: 118-119.
2023
Became law
MFA Act
Referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.
2026
Sponsored
Workforce Dignity Act
Referred to the Committee on Ways and Means, and in addition to the Committees on Small Business, and Transportation and Infrastructure, for a period
2026
Sponsored
Federal Fraud Prevention Workforce Training Act
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.
2026
Sponsored
State Emissions Authority Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.
2026
Sponsored
OPT Fair Tax Act
Referred to the House Committee on Ways and Means.
2026
Sponsored
Restoration of Employment Choice for Adults with Disabilities Act
Ordered to be Reported (Amended) by the Yeas and Nays: 18 - 15.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Grothman votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Grothman
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
80
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 582 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
96%voted with Republicans · 4% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
1993Member of the Wisconsin State Assembly
1993–2003
2005Member of the State Senate of Wisconsin
2005–2015
2015United States representative
since 2015
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$635k
Raised
$457k
Spent
$700k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
11% small (<$200)58% large indiv.31% PAC
85% in-state · 15% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Grothman is running in.
WI · HOUSE · 2026safe r
Grothman (R) vs Michael Thurow (I)
59%+14.0 Grothman45%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Grothman and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
nytimes.com · 2026-06-25
Who Is Ahead in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District?
nytimes.com · 2026-06-25
Who Is Ahead in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District?
nytimes.com · 2026-06-24
Wisconsin Governor Election 2026: Latest Polls
jsonline.com · 2026-06-22
Will moderate voters find a home in Wisconsin's governor's race?
Republican · WI-6 U.S. House
Glenn Grothman
Glenn Sholes Grothman is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative from Wisconsin's 6th congressional district. A member of the Republican Party, he was first elected to his seat in 2014.
Where Grothman standsRace →
Grothman 59%Michael Thurow 45%
Market · wins
85¢
59%
Poll avg
85%
Win prob
$635k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Glenn Grothman, an attorney and former Wisconsin state legislator who has served in the U.S. House since 2015, is seeking the WI-6 House seat. In polling, he leads opponent Michael Thurow with roughly 59% to about 45%, and market odds imply about an 80% win probability. Grothman has raised approximately $600,000 for the 2026 race.
Governing & voting record
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 220 Fremont Street in Kiel, Wisconsin
2023 · BECAME LAW
MFA Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Workforce Dignity Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Federal Fraud Prevention Workforce Training Act
2026 · SPONSORED
State Emissions Authority Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
OPT Fair Tax Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Restoration of Employment Choice for Adults with Disabilities Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
1993Member of the Wisconsin State Assembly
1993–2003
2005Member of the State Senate of Wisconsin
2005–2015
2015United States representative
since 2015
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Grothman's money comes from.
C+
52/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
2 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance22
11% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
31% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding85
15% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Grothman votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Grothman
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
80
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 582 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
96%voted with Republicans · 4% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$635k
Raised
$457k
Spent
$700k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
11% small (<$200)58% large indiv.31% PAC
85% in-state · 15% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)