Public domain
RepublicanRunning for AZ-2 U.S. House · 2026
Eli Crane
Elijah James Crane is an American politician, businessman, and former United States Navy SEAL serving as the U.S. representative for Arizona's 2nd congressional district since 2023. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Born 1980 · Tucson, Arizona , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
44%
Polling average
our aggregate
64%
Win probability
market-implied
$7.4M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Crane's money comes from.
B
70/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance80
40% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence96
1% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding6
94% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure99
$41k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Crane did in office.
MeasureYearAction
USCP Empowerment Act of 2025
Ordered to be Reported (Amended) by Voice Vote.
2025
Sponsored
End H–1B Visa Abuse Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on the Judiciary.
2026
Sponsored
North Rim Restoration Act
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources.
2025
Sponsored
Apache County and Navajo County Conveyance Act of 2025
Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. Ordered to be reported with an amendment in the nature of a substitute favorably.
2025
Sponsored
To require the Secretary of Agriculture to convey the Pleasant Valley Ranger District Administrative Site to G
Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. Ordered to be reported with an amendment favorably.
2025
Sponsored
Nick Shirley Congressional Gold Medal Act
Referred to the House Committee on Financial Services.
2026
Sponsored
Atmosphere Study Act
Referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Crane votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Crane
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Right
Overall lean
87
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 578 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
86%voted with Republicans · 14% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$7.4M
Raised
$5.4M
Spent
$2.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
40% small (<$200)59% large indiv.1% PAC
6% in-state · 94% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Crane is running in.
AZ · HOUSE · 2026lean r
Crane (R) vs Jonathan Nez (D)
44%+3.0 Crane41%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Crane and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES CONGRESS · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
azfamily.com · 2026-07-05
‘No Safe Seats’ targets Arizona Democrats. Here’s what the campaign means
kjzz.org · 2026-07-01
Arizona candidate picked centrism over democratic socialism. Will it work with primary voters?
azcentral.com · 2026-07-01
Who is running for US House of Representatives in Arizona in 2026?
aol.com · 2026-06-30
Arizona LD3 primaries feature crowded GOP House, Senate races
Republican · AZ-2 U.S. House
Eli Crane
Elijah James Crane is an American politician, businessman, and former United States Navy SEAL serving as the U.S. representative for Arizona's 2nd congressional district since 2023. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Where Crane standsRace →
Crane 44%Jonathan Nez 41%
Market · wins
64¢
44%
Poll avg
64%
Win prob
$7.4M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
USCP Empowerment Act of 2025
2025 · SPONSORED
End H–1B Visa Abuse Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
North Rim Restoration Act
2025 · SPONSORED
Apache County and Navajo County Conveyance Act of 2025
2025 · SPONSORED
To require the Secretary of Agriculture to convey the Pleasant Valley Ranger District Administrative Site to G
2025 · SPONSORED
Nick Shirley Congressional Gold Medal Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Atmosphere Study Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2023United States representative
since 2023
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Crane's money comes from.
B
70/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance80
40% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence96
1% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding6
94% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure99
$41k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Crane votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Crane
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Right
Overall lean
87
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 578 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
86%voted with Republicans · 14% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$7.4M
Raised
$5.4M
Spent
$2.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
40% small (<$200)59% large indiv.1% PAC
6% in-state · 94% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES CONGRESS · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)