NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Photo of Deb HaalandD
Public domain
DemocratRunning for NM Governor · 2026

Deb Haaland

Debra Anne Haaland is an American politician who served as the 54th United States secretary of the interior from 2021 to 2025. A member of the Democratic Party, she served as the U.S. representative for New Mexico's 1st congressional district from 2019 to 2021 and was chair of the New Mexico Democratic Party from 2015 to 2017. Haaland, a Native American, is an enrolled member of the Laguna Pueblo tribe.
Born 1960 · Winslow, Arizona , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03

Deb Haaland, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2021–2025) and U.S. Representative from New Mexico's 1st district (2019–2021), is running for New Mexico governor. An enrolled Laguna Pueblo member, she won the Democratic primary. Markets place her general-election win probability at about 90%.

94%
Win probability
market-implied
+12
Net favorability
latest public poll
Governing & voting record

What Haaland did in office.

MeasureYearAction
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 1050 Sunset Road Southwest in Albuque
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.
2021
Sponsored
SOAR Act
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 562.
2019
Sponsored
Justice for Native Survivors of Sexual Violence Act
Placed on the Union Calendar, Calendar No. 532.
2019
Sponsored
Native American Language Resource Center Act
Referred to the House Committee on Education and Labor.
2020
Sponsored
Extending Tribal Broadband Priority Act of 2020
Referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.
2020
Sponsored
Reconciliation in Place Names Act
Referred to the House Committee on Natural Resources.
2020
Sponsored
Truth and Healing Commission on Indian Boarding School Policy Act
Referred to the Committee on Education and Labor, and in addition to the Committee on Natural Resources, for a period to be subsequently determined by
2020
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
How Haaland votes

With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.

Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Haaland
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
33
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 117TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2019United States representative
2019–2021
2021United States Secretary of the Interior
2021–2025
Public favorability
17%
Favorable
5%
Unfavorable
+12
Net
12% HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVEN'T HEARD ENOUGH · YOUGOV RATINGS TRACKER · N=1,372 U.S. ADULTS
Donors & money
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race

The contest Haaland is running in.

NM · GOVERNOR · 2026tilt d
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Haaland and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Favorability
Published polls
YouGov ratings tracker · n=1,372 U.S. adults
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
A
aol.com · 2026-07-06
Greggory Hull wins Republican nomination for governor in New Mexico
L
ladailypost.com · 2026-07-06
Dannemann: Gregg Hull Doesn’t Trust New Mexico Elections
A
abqjournal.com · 2026-07-06
Haaland holds 7-to-1 cash edge over Hull in governor's race
S
sourcenm.com · 2026-07-06
Democratic gubernatorial candidate Haaland outraises Hull 2-1 in month following primary election
Photo of Deb HaalandD
Democrat · NM Governor

Deb Haaland

Debra Anne Haaland is an American politician who served as the 54th United States secretary of the interior from 2021 to 2025. A member of the Democratic Party, she served as the U.S. representative for New Mexico's 1st congressional district from 2019 to 2021 and was chair of the New Mexico Democratic Party from 2015 to 2017. Haaland, a Native American, is an enrolled member of the Laguna Pueblo tribe.

94%
Win prob
+12
Net fav
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03

Deb Haaland, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2021–2025) and U.S. Representative from New Mexico's 1st district (2019–2021), is running for New Mexico governor. An enrolled Laguna Pueblo member, she won the Democratic primary. Markets place her general-election win probability at about 90%.

Governing & voting record
To designate the facility of the United States Postal Service located at 1050 Sunset Road Southwest in Albuque
2021 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
SOAR Act
2019 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Justice for Native Survivors of Sexual Violence Act
2019 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Native American Language Resource Center Act
2020 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Extending Tribal Broadband Priority Act of 2020
2020 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Reconciliation in Place Names Act
2020 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Truth and Healing Commission on Indian Boarding School Policy Act
2020 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Where Haaland stands
AI · from the record
Native American policy
Sponsored a cluster of bills on Native American and tribal issues, including the Native American Language Resource Center Act, the Extending Tribal Broadband Priority Act of 2020, the Truth and Healing Commission on Indian Boarding School Policy Act, the Justice for Native Survivors of Sexual Violence Act, and the Reconciliation in Place Names Act.
Voting record
DW-NOMINATE analysis of her 117th Congress House votes places her ideology score at 33, close to the Democratic median of 31 and well to the left of the chamber midpoint of 50.
Career & history
2019United States representative
2019–2021
2021United States Secretary of the Interior
2021–2025
Public favorability
17%
Favorable
5%
Unfavorable
+12
Net
12% HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVEN'T HEARD ENOUGH · YOUGOV RATINGS TRACKER · N=1,372 U.S. ADULTS
How Haaland votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Haaland
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-left
Overall lean
33
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 117TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race
NM · GOVERNOR · 2026tilt d
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Favorability
Published polls
YouGov ratings tracker · n=1,372 U.S. adults
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)