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Photo of Darren BaileyR
CC BY-SA 4.0
RepublicanRunning for IL Governor · 2026

Darren Bailey

Darren Bailey (born March 17, 1966) is an American politician who was a Republican member of the Illinois Senate for the 55th District and previously a member of the Illinois House of Representatives for the 109th District in Southern Illinois . Widely described by news outlets as a far-right politician, he was the Republican nominee for the 2022 Illinois gubernatorial election , losing to Democrat JB Pritzker . Bailey is once again the Republican nominee in the 2026 election .
Born 1966 · Louisville, Illinois , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03

Darren Bailey, a Republican who served in the Illinois House (2019-2021) and State Senate (2021-2023), is the Republican nominee for Illinois governor. He trails incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker by roughly 18 points in polling—approximately 35% to Pritzker's 53%. Prediction markets suggest about a 10% win probability; Bailey has raised around $800,000.

34.6%
Polling average
our aggregate
9%
Win probability
market-implied
$841k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2019Member of the Illinois House of Representatives
2019–2021
2021Member of the State Senate of Illinois
2021–2023
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date

Who funds the campaign.

$841k
Raised
$697k
Spent
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race

The contest Bailey is running in.

IL · GOVERNOR · 2026lean d
Bailey (R) vs JB Pritzker (D)
34.6%−18.8 Pritzker53.4%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Bailey and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: COBIBLAIR · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
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nytimes.com · 2026-06-24
Illinois Seventh Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
Photo of Darren BaileyR
Republican · IL Governor

Darren Bailey

Darren Bailey (born March 17, 1966) is an American politician who was a Republican member of the Illinois Senate for the 55th District and previously a member of the Illinois House of Representatives for the 109th District in Southern Illinois . Widely described by news outlets as a far-right politician, he was the Republican nominee for the 2022 Illinois gubernatorial election , losing to Democrat JB Pritzker . Bailey is once again the Republican nominee in the 2026 election .

Where Bailey standsRace →
Bailey 34.6%JB Pritzker 53.4%
Market · wins
9¢
34.6%
Poll avg
9%
Win prob
$841k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03

Darren Bailey, a Republican who served in the Illinois House (2019-2021) and State Senate (2021-2023), is the Republican nominee for Illinois governor. He trails incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker by roughly 18 points in polling—approximately 35% to Pritzker's 53%. Prediction markets suggest about a 10% win probability; Bailey has raised around $800,000.

Governing & voting record
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2019Member of the Illinois House of Representatives
2019–2021
2021Member of the State Senate of Illinois
2021–2023
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
How they vote
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$841k
Raised
$697k
Spent
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
IL · GOVERNOR · 2026lean d
Bailey (R) vs JB Pritzker (D)
34.6%−18.8 Pritzker53.4%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: COBIBLAIR · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)