NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new ↗·Methodology·Send feedback
R
Public domain
RepublicanRunning for MS U.S. Senate · 2026
Cindy Hyde-Smith
Cindy Hyde-Smith ( née Hyde ; born May 10, 1959) is an American politician and lobbyist serving since 2018 as the junior United States senator from Mississippi . A member of the Republican Party , she served from 2012 to 2018 as the Mississippi Commissioner of Agriculture and Commerce and from 2000 to 2012 in the Mississippi State Senate .
Born 1959 · Brookhaven, Mississippi , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
U.S. Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith, representing Mississippi since 2018, won her Republican primary and is running for re-election. She previously served in the Mississippi State Senate and as the state's Agriculture Commissioner. In polling, she and opponent Scott Colom are essentially tied, each around 38–39%. Betting markets give her about a 90% chance. She has raised roughly $3 million.
37.5%
Polling average
our aggregate
88%
Win probability
market-implied
$3.4M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mix
Who Hyde-Smith's money comes from.
C−
37/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
37% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding44
56% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure97
$99k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
What Hyde-Smith did in office.
MeasureYearAction
Save Our Shrimpers Act
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Foreign Relations.
2026
Sponsored
A bill to establish the Grand Village of the Natchez Indians and Jefferson College as affiliated areas of the
Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. Ordered to be reported without amendment favorably.
2026
Sponsored
A resolution designating April 2026 as "National Native Plant Month".
Submitted in the Senate, considered, and agreed to without amendment and with a preamble by Unanimous Consent. (consideration: CR S1690; text: CR S167
2026
Sponsored
Gun Owner Registration Information Protection Act
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.
2026
Sponsored
BO’s Act
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions.
2026
Sponsored
SAVE Moms and Babies Act of 2026
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions. (Sponsor introductory remarks on measure: CR S292)
2026
Sponsored
Middle Mile for Rural America Act
Read twice and referred to the Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry.
2026
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
How Hyde-Smith votes
With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Hyde-Smith
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
72
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (SENATE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 835 roll-calls · 119th Congress (Senate)
99%voted with Republicans · 1% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2000Member of the Mississippi Senate
2000–2012
2018United States senator
since 2018
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date
Who funds the campaign.
$3.4M
Raised
$1.4M
Spent
$2.5M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)60% large indiv.37% PAC
44% in-state · 56% out-of-state (itemized)
Top contributors · bundled by employer / org
INFORMATION REQUESTED PER BEST EFFORTS
$33k
TENAX AEROSPACE
$23k
HORNE
$19k
CORNERSTONE GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS
$19k
NTC GROUP
$14k
TNT FIREWORKS
$13k
Top industries · itemized $
Oil & gas$11k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES SENATE · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Cindy Hyde-Smith ( née Hyde ; born May 10, 1959) is an American politician and lobbyist serving since 2018 as the junior United States senator from Mississippi . A member of the Republican Party , she served from 2012 to 2018 as the Mississippi Commissioner of Agriculture and Commerce and from 2000 to 2012 in the Mississippi State Senate .
U.S. Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith, representing Mississippi since 2018, won her Republican primary and is running for re-election. She previously served in the Mississippi State Senate and as the state's Agriculture Commissioner. In polling, she and opponent Scott Colom are essentially tied, each around 38–39%. Betting markets give her about a 90% chance. She has raised roughly $3 million.
Governing & voting record
Save Our Shrimpers Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
A bill to establish the Grand Village of the Natchez Indians and Jefferson College as affiliated areas of the
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
A resolution designating April 2026 as "National Native Plant Month".
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Gun Owner Registration Information Protection Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
BO’s Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
SAVE Moms and Babies Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Middle Mile for Rural America Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Where Hyde-Smith stands
AI · from the record
Fisheries policy
Sponsored the Save Our Shrimpers Act.
Gun policy
Sponsored the Gun Owner Registration Information Protection Act.
Maternal and family health
Sponsored the SAVE Moms and Babies Act of 2026 and BO's Act, both referred to the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions.
Rural infrastructure
Sponsored the Middle Mile for Rural America Act, referred to the Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry.
Party voting alignment
Votes with the Republican party about 99% of the time across 835 roll-call votes in the 119th Congress, with a DW-NOMINATE score of 72 (Center-right) close to the Senate Republican median of 78.
Career & history
2000Member of the Mississippi Senate
2000–2012
2018United States senator
since 2018
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Hyde-Smith's money comes from.
C−
37/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — pac independence is the weak spot.
3 watch items · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance6
3% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence0
37% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding44
56% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure97
$99k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Hyde-Smith votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Hyde-Smith
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Center-right
Overall lean
72
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (SENATE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 835 roll-calls · 119th Congress (Senate)
99%voted with Republicans · 1% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$3.4M
Raised
$1.4M
Spent
$2.5M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
3% small (<$200)60% large indiv.37% PAC
44% in-state · 56% out-of-state (itemized)
Top industries · itemized $
Oil & gas$11k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES SENATE · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)