Public domain
DemocratRunning for NY-1 U.S. House · 2026
Chris Gallant
An election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election took place on June 23, 2026. As the state of New York has closed primary elections, only registered party members are allowed to vote in each party's primary.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Democrat Chris Gallant won the June 2026 NY-1 Democratic primary and is running for U.S. House. He trails opponent Nick LaLota in current polling, standing at about 38% to LaLota's roughly 42%. Markets assign Gallant around a 40% win probability. He has raised approximately $500,000 for his campaign.
37.5%
Polling average
our aggregate
38%
Win probability
market-implied
$516k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Gallant's money comes from.
B+
73/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance32
16% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence92
2% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding68
32% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$516k
Raised
$434k
Spent
$82k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
16% small (<$200)82% large indiv.2% PAC
68% in-state · 32% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-03 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Gallant is running in.
NY · HOUSE · 2026lean r
Gallant (D) vs Nick LaLota (R)
37.5%−3.9 LaLota41.5%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Gallant and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNKNOWN AUTHOR, VECTORISED BY USER:FENN-O-MANIC · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
thehill.com · 2026-07-01
GOP holds edge in Senate swing-state races: New York Times polls
nypost.com · 2026-06-25
Only one in five New Yorkers believe the Dem redistricting push will be good for the state: poll
nytimes.com · 2026-06-24
New York 12th Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
jpost.com · 2026-06-23
Lasher, Bores in tight contest to fill Nadler Congress seat in New York Democratic primary election
Democrat · NY-1 U.S. House
Chris Gallant
An election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election took place on June 23, 2026. As the state of New York has closed primary elections, only registered party members are allowed to vote in each party's primary.
Where Gallant standsRace →
Gallant 37.5%Nick LaLota 41.5%
Market · wins
38¢
37.5%
Poll avg
38%
Win prob
$516k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Democrat Chris Gallant won the June 2026 NY-1 Democratic primary and is running for U.S. House. He trails opponent Nick LaLota in current polling, standing at about 38% to LaLota's roughly 42%. Markets assign Gallant around a 40% win probability. He has raised approximately $500,000 for his campaign.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Gallant's money comes from.
B+
73/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance32
16% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence92
2% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding68
32% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$516k
Raised
$434k
Spent
$82k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
16% small (<$200)82% large indiv.2% PAC
68% in-state · 32% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-03 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNKNOWN AUTHOR, VECTORISED BY USER:FENN-O-MANIC · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)