DemocratRunning for NE-1 U.S. House · 2026
Chris Backemeyer
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Chris Backemeyer is a Democrat running for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District House seat in 2026. He won his party's primary. Polling shows Backemeyer at about 34% support compared to his opponent Mike Flood's roughly 42%. Political markets assign him approximately a 20% chance of winning. He has raised about $400,000 for his campaign.
34.4%
Polling average
our aggregate
16%
Win probability
market-implied
$354k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Backemeyer's money comes from.
B
67/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
2 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance42
21% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence84
4% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding42
58% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$354k
Raised
$162k
Spent
$192k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
21% small (<$200)75% large indiv.4% PAC
42% in-state · 58% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-22 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Backemeyer is running in.
NE · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Backemeyer (D) vs Mike Flood (R)
34.4%−7.6 Flood42%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Backemeyer and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Democrat · NE-1 U.S. House
Chris Backemeyer
Where Backemeyer standsRace →
Backemeyer 34.4%Mike Flood 42%
Market · wins
16¢
34.4%
Poll avg
16%
Win prob
$354k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Chris Backemeyer is a Democrat running for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District House seat in 2026. He won his party's primary. Polling shows Backemeyer at about 34% support compared to his opponent Mike Flood's roughly 42%. Political markets assign him approximately a 20% chance of winning. He has raised about $400,000 for his campaign.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Backemeyer's money comes from.
B
67/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — small-dollar reliance is the watch item.
2 watch items · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance42
21% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence84
4% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding42
58% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$354k
Raised
$162k
Spent
$192k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
21% small (<$200)75% large indiv.4% PAC
42% in-state · 58% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-22 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.