Public domain
RepublicanRunning for TX-35 U.S. House · 2026
Carlos De La Cruz
The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the thirty-eight U.S. representatives from the State of Texas, one from each of the state's thirty-eight congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on March 3, 2026, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections took place on May 26.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
53%
Win probability
market-implied
$671k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Cruz's money comes from.
C
46/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — outside-money exposure is the weak spot.
2 watch items · outside-money exposure
Small-dollar reliance52
26% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence28
18% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding80
20% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure22
$2.4M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$671k
Raised
$539k
Spent
$133k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
26% small (<$200)56% large indiv.18% PAC
80% in-state · 20% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-06 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Cruz and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: COAT_OF_ARMS_OF_THE_REPUBLIC_OF_TEXAS.SVG: SODACAN DERIVATIVE WORK: FRY1989 (TALK) · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Republican · TX-35 U.S. House
Carlos De La Cruz
The 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the thirty-eight U.S. representatives from the State of Texas, one from each of the state's thirty-eight congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on March 3, 2026, and in races where no candidate receives over 50% in a primary, runoff elections took place on May 26.
53%
Win prob
$671k
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Cruz's money comes from.
C
46/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans on concentrated money — outside-money exposure is the weak spot.
2 watch items · outside-money exposure
Small-dollar reliance52
26% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence28
18% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding80
20% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure22
$2.4M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$671k
Raised
$539k
Spent
$133k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
26% small (<$200)56% large indiv.18% PAC
80% in-state · 20% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-05-06 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: COAT_OF_ARMS_OF_THE_REPUBLIC_OF_TEXAS.SVG: SODACAN DERIVATIVE WORK: FRY1989 (TALK) · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)