DemocratRunning for WI-6 U.S. House · 2026
Brad Smith
Brad or Bradley Smith may refer to:
Brad or Bradley Smith may refer to:
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Brad Smith, a Democrat, is running for the U.S. House seat in Wisconsin's 6th district. Polling shows Smith at roughly 39% support, trailing opponent Glenn Grothman by about 20 percentage points. Market data implies roughly a 10% win probability. Smith has raised about $100,000 for his campaign.
39%
Polling average
our aggregate
14%
Win probability
market-implied
$81k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Smith's money comes from.
A
91/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — pac independence is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance70
35% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence100
0% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding94
6% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$81k
Raised
$28k
Spent
$53k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
35% small (<$200)65% large indiv.0% PAC
94% in-state · 6% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Race
The contest Smith is running in.
WI · HOUSE · 2026safe r
Smith (D) vs Glenn Grothman (R)
39%−20.0 Grothman59%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Smith and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
nytimes.com · 2026-06-25
Who Is Ahead in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District?
nytimes.com · 2026-06-25
Who Is Ahead in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District?
nytimes.com · 2026-06-24
Wisconsin Governor Election 2026: Latest Polls
jsonline.com · 2026-06-22
Will moderate voters find a home in Wisconsin's governor's race?
Democrat · WI-6 U.S. House
Brad Smith
Brad or Bradley Smith may refer to:
Brad or Bradley Smith may refer to:
Where Smith standsRace →
Smith 39%Glenn Grothman 59%
Market · wins
14¢
39%
Poll avg
14%
Win prob
$81k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Brad Smith, a Democrat, is running for the U.S. House seat in Wisconsin's 6th district. Polling shows Smith at roughly 39% support, trailing opponent Glenn Grothman by about 20 percentage points. Market data implies roughly a 10% win probability. Smith has raised about $100,000 for his campaign.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Smith's money comes from.
A
91/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — pac independence is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance70
35% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence100
0% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding94
6% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$81k
Raised
$28k
Spent
$53k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
35% small (<$200)65% large indiv.0% PAC
94% in-state · 6% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.