DemocratRunning for PA-1 U.S. House · 2026
Bob Harvie
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Democrat Bob Harvie won the PA-1 primary and is running for U.S. House. In polling, he trails opponent Brian Fitzpatrick, standing at about 42% compared to around 48%. Polymarket-derived odds suggest roughly a 50% win probability. Harvie has raised approximately $1.5 million for the race.
42%
Polling average
our aggregate
48%
Win probability
market-implied
$1.5M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Harvie's money comes from.
B+
72/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance48
24% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence80
5% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding59
41% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$1.5M
Raised
$851k
Spent
$604k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
24% small (<$200)71% large indiv.5% PAC
59% in-state · 41% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-29 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Harvie is running in.
PA · HOUSE · 2026likely r
Harvie (D) vs Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
42%−6.0 Fitzpatrick48%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Harvie and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Democrat · PA-1 U.S. House
Bob Harvie
Where Harvie standsRace →
Harvie 42%Brian Fitzpatrick 48%
Market · wins
48¢
42%
Poll avg
48%
Win prob
$1.5M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Democrat Bob Harvie won the PA-1 primary and is running for U.S. House. In polling, he trails opponent Brian Fitzpatrick, standing at about 42% compared to around 48%. Polymarket-derived odds suggest roughly a 50% win probability. Harvie has raised approximately $1.5 million for the race.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Harvie's money comes from.
B+
72/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — outside-money exposure is the standout.
1 watch item · small-dollar reliance
Small-dollar reliance48
24% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence80
5% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding59
41% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
No significant outside spending in support so far
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$1.5M
Raised
$851k
Spent
$604k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
24% small (<$200)71% large indiv.5% PAC
59% in-state · 41% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-04-29 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.