Public domain
DemocratRunning for NY-21 U.S. House · 2026
Blake Gendebien
An election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election took place on June 23, 2026. As the state of New York has closed primary elections, only registered party members are allowed to vote in each party's primary.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
44%
Polling average
our aggregate
24%
Win probability
market-implied
$5.0M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Gendebien's money comes from.
A−
86/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — small-dollar reliance is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance100
51% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence96
1% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding51
49% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure99
$40k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$5.0M
Raised
$3.0M
Spent
$2.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
51% small (<$200)48% large indiv.1% PAC
51% in-state · 49% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-03 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Gendebien is running in.
NY · HOUSE · 2026tilt r
Gendebien (D) vs Anthony Constantino (R)
44%−1.0 Constantino45%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Gendebien and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNKNOWN AUTHOR, VECTORISED BY USER:FENN-O-MANIC · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
nytimes.com · 2026-07-03
Trump Intercedes to Push Robert Smullen Out of N.Y. House Race
wamc.org · 2026-07-03
Robert Smullen ends bid for Congress in NY-21
wcax.com · 2026-07-03
Smullen drops out of NY-21 Congressional race after meeting with Trump
nytimes.com · 2026-07-02
New York 13th Congressional District 2026: Latest Polls
Democrat · NY-21 U.S. House
Blake Gendebien
An election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election took place on June 23, 2026. As the state of New York has closed primary elections, only registered party members are allowed to vote in each party's primary.
Where Gendebien standsRace →
Gendebien 44%Anthony Constantino 45%
Market · wins
24¢
44%
Poll avg
24%
Win prob
$5.0M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Gendebien's money comes from.
A−
86/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — small-dollar reliance is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance100
51% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence96
1% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding51
49% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure99
$40k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$5.0M
Raised
$3.0M
Spent
$2.3M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
51% small (<$200)48% large indiv.1% PAC
51% in-state · 49% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-03 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNKNOWN AUTHOR, VECTORISED BY USER:FENN-O-MANIC · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)