NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Photo of August PflugerR
Public domain
RepublicanRunning for TX-11 U.S. House · 2026

August Pfluger

August Lee Pfluger is an American politician and Air Force officer serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 11th congressional district since 2021. A member of the Republican Party, his district includes much of West Texas.
Born 1977 · Harris County, Texas , U.S.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-06

August Pfluger, the U.S. representative for Texas's 11th congressional district since 2021, is running as a Republican in the 2026 general election. An Air Force officer, Pfluger has raised about $3 million for the race. Markets estimate his chances of winning at roughly 90%; his district is rated safe Republican.

92%
Win probability
market-implied
$2.6M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mix

Who Pfluger's money comes from.

B−
63/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
1 watch item · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance58
29% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence20
20% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding73
27% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$54 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record

What Pfluger did in office.

MeasureYearAction
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted
Became Public Law No: 119-2.
2025
Became law
Premium Transparency Act
Forwarded by Subcommittee to Full Committee by Voice Vote.
2026
Sponsored
I&A Mission Reorientation Act of 2026
Ordered to be Reported (Amended) by the Yeas and Nays: 30 - 0.
2026
Sponsored
Robert Lodge Medal of Honor Act
Referred to the House Committee on Armed Services.
2026
Sponsored
Protect Domestic Oil and Gas Small Business Act of 2026
Referred to the House Committee on Energy and Commerce.
2026
Sponsored
Mystic Alerts Act
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation.
2026
Sponsored
Federal Broadband Deployment Tracking Act
Received in the Senate and Read twice and referred to the Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation.
2025
Sponsored
SPONSORED LEGISLATION VIA CONGRESS.GOV · ENACTED BILLS FIRST, THEN THE MOST RECENT · ROLE SHOWS THE BILL'S LATEST STATUS.
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How Pfluger votes

With the party, against it, and where on the spectrum.

Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Pfluger
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Right
Overall lean
82
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 584 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
99%voted with Republicans · 1% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2021United States representative
since 2021
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date

Who funds the campaign.

$2.6M
Raised
$2.2M
Spent
$2.8M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
29% small (<$200)51% large indiv.20% PAC
73% in-state · 27% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race

The contest Pfluger is running in.

TX · HOUSE · 2026safe r
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →

Live contract prices tied to Pfluger and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.

Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES CONGRESS · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Photo of August PflugerR
Republican · TX-11 U.S. House

August Pfluger

August Lee Pfluger is an American politician and Air Force officer serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 11th congressional district since 2021. A member of the Republican Party, his district includes much of West Texas.

92%
Win prob
$2.6M
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-06

August Pfluger, the U.S. representative for Texas's 11th congressional district since 2021, is running as a Republican in the 2026 general election. An Air Force officer, Pfluger has raised about $3 million for the race. Markets estimate his chances of winning at roughly 90%; his district is rated safe Republican.

Governing & voting record
Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted
2025 · BECAME LAW
Became
Premium Transparency Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
I&A Mission Reorientation Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Robert Lodge Medal of Honor Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Protect Domestic Oil and Gas Small Business Act of 2026
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Mystic Alerts Act
2026 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Federal Broadband Deployment Tracking Act
2025 · SPONSORED
Sponsored
Where they stand
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2021United States representative
since 2021
Public favorability
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard

Who Pfluger's money comes from.

B−
63/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — pac independence is the watch item.
1 watch item · pac independence
Small-dollar reliance58
29% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence20
20% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding73
27% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure100
$54 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How Pfluger votes
Ideological placement · roll-call record
Dem median
GOP median
Pfluger
← LiberalCenterConservative →
Right
Overall lean
82
DW-NOMINATE · 0–100
DW-NOMINATE FIRST-DIMENSION SCORE FROM ROLL-CALL VOTES IN THE 119TH CONGRESS (HOUSE), VIA VOTEVIEW. 0 = MOST LIBERAL, 100 = MOST CONSERVATIVE.
Party unity · 584 roll-calls · 119th Congress (House)
99%voted with Republicans · 1% broke ranks
Ratings from advocacy groups
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$2.6M
Raised
$2.2M
Spent
$2.8M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
29% small (<$200)51% large indiv.20% PAC
73% in-state · 27% out-of-state (itemized)
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
TX · HOUSE · 2026safe r
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNITED STATES CONGRESS · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)