DemocratRunning for NC-10 U.S. House · 2026
Ashley Bell
Ashley Daniel Bell is an American lawyer, political advisor, and government official serving as Regional Administrator of the Small Business Administration for Region IV.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04
Ashley Bell is a Democrat and SBA Regional Administrator running for U.S. House in North Carolina's 10th district. She trails in polling, drawing support from roughly 37 percent of voters compared to her opponent's approximately 52 percent. According to prediction markets, she has about a 10 percent chance of winning the seat.
37%
Polling average
our aggregate
12%
Win probability
market-implied
$28k
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Bell's money comes from.
A
100/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — small-dollar reliance is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance100
69% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence100
0% of individual + PAC money from PACs
Outside-money exposure100
$57 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$28k
Raised
$24k
Spent
$6k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
69% small (<$200)31% large indiv.0% PAC
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Bell is running in.
NC · HOUSE · 2026safe r
Bell (D) vs Pat Harrigan (R)
37%−15.0 Harrigan52%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Bell and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Democrat · NC-10 U.S. House
Ashley Bell
Ashley Daniel Bell is an American lawyer, political advisor, and government official serving as Regional Administrator of the Small Business Administration for Region IV.
Where Bell standsRace →
Bell 37%Pat Harrigan 52%
Market · wins
12¢
37%
Poll avg
12%
Win prob
$28k
Raised
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-04Ashley Bell is a Democrat and SBA Regional Administrator running for U.S. House in North Carolina's 10th district. She trails in polling, drawing support from roughly 37 percent of voters compared to her opponent's approximately 52 percent. According to prediction markets, she has about a 10 percent chance of winning the seat.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who Bell's money comes from.
A
100/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — small-dollar reliance is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance100
69% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence100
0% of individual + PAC money from PACs
Outside-money exposure100
$57 in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$28k
Raised
$24k
Spent
$6k
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
69% small (<$200)31% large indiv.0% PAC
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.