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RepublicanRunning for NY-21 U.S. House · 2026
Anthony Constantino
An election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election took place on June 23, 2026. As the state of New York has closed primary elections, only registered party members are allowed to vote in each party's primary.
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Anthony Constantino is a Republican running for the House seat in New York's 21st Congressional District. Polling shows him at about 45%, roughly tied with opponent Blake Gendebien at 44%. With approximately $7 million raised, Polymarket data assigns him about a 70% win probability in the general election.
45%
Polling average
our aggregate
74%
Win probability
market-implied
$7.5M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-date
Who funds the campaign.
$7.5M
Raised
$6.6M
Spent
$3.1M
Cash on hand
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-03 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Live contract prices tied to Constantino and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNKNOWN AUTHOR, VECTORISED BY USER:FENN-O-MANIC · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
An election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election took place on June 23, 2026. As the state of New York has closed primary elections, only registered party members are allowed to vote in each party's primary.
Anthony Constantino is a Republican running for the House seat in New York's 21st Congressional District. Polling shows him at about 45%, roughly tied with opponent Blake Gendebien at 44%. With approximately $7 million raised, Polymarket data assigns him about a 70% win probability in the general election.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$7.5M
Raised
$6.6M
Spent
$3.1M
Cash on hand
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-06-03 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: UNKNOWN AUTHOR, VECTORISED BY USER:FENN-O-MANIC · PUBLIC DOMAIN (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)