CC BY-SA 4.0
DemocratRunning for MI U.S. Senate · 2026
Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed ( Democratic Party ) is running for election to the U.S. Senate to represent Michigan. He is on the ballot in the Democratic primary on August 4, 2026 . [source]
Born 1984 · Detroit , Michigan, U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
44.9%
Polling average
our aggregate
62%
Win probability
market-implied
$7.6M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho El-Sayed's money comes from.
B
68/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance52
26% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence96
1% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding35
65% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure90
$820k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$7.6M
Raised
$5.1M
Spent
$2.5M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
26% small (<$200)73% large indiv.1% PAC
35% in-state · 65% out-of-state (itemized)
Top contributors · bundled by employer / org
HENRY FORD HEALTH
$57k
GOOGLE
$34k
UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN
$33k
APPLE
$31k
COREWELL HEALTH
$26k
ACCESS
$24k
Top industries · itemized $
Education$54k
Computers / electronics$47k
Internet$34k
Health professionals$15k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest El-Sayed is running in.
MI · SENATE · 2026tilt d
El-Sayed (D) vs Haley Stevens (D)
44.9%+1.2 El-Sayed43.7%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to El-Sayed and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Republican
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Democrat
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $4k · Abdul El-Sayed
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · Mallory McMorrow
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $1k · Haley Stevens
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $1k · Mike Rogers
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: CONLAN HOUSTON · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
bridgemi.com · 2026-07-06
El-Sayed vs. Stevens: What to know about Michigan’s most interesting primary
thehill.com · 2026-07-06
Michigan Democratic Senate primary narrows to one-on-one matchup
nytimes.com · 2026-07-06
Michigan Senate Primary Gives Democrats Stark Choice Between Progressive and Moderate Candidate
washingtonpost.com · 2026-07-06
Mallory McMorrow drops out of Democratic primary for Michigan Senate seat
Democrat · MI U.S. Senate
Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed ( Democratic Party ) is running for election to the U.S. Senate to represent Michigan. He is on the ballot in the Democratic primary on August 4, 2026 . [source]
Where El-Sayed standsRace →
El-Sayed 44.9%Haley Stevens 43.7%
Market · wins
62¢
44.9%
Poll avg
62%
Win prob
$7.6M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Independence scorecard
Who El-Sayed's money comes from.
B
68/100
Independence index
A mixed funding picture — in-state funding is the watch item.
1 watch item · in-state funding
Small-dollar reliance52
26% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence96
1% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding35
65% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure90
$820k in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$7.6M
Raised
$5.1M
Spent
$2.5M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
26% small (<$200)73% large indiv.1% PAC
35% in-state · 65% out-of-state (itemized)
Top industries · itemized $
Education$54k
Computers / electronics$47k
Internet$34k
Health professionals$15k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Related prediction markets
All markets →Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Republican
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Democrat
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $4k · Abdul El-Sayed
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · Mallory McMorrow
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $1k · Haley Stevens
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Kalshi · vol $1k · Mike Rogers
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: CONLAN HOUSTON · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
