RepublicanRunning for RI Governor · 2026
Aaron Guckian
Aaron Guckian ( Republican Party ) is running for election for Governor of Rhode Island . He declared candidacy for the Republican primary scheduled on September 9, 2026 . [source]
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03
Aaron Guckian is a Republican candidate for Governor of Rhode Island. He is competing in the Republican primary scheduled for September 9, 2026. In general election polling, he trails opponent Helena Foulkes by roughly 16 percentage points, polling at approximately 22% to her 38%. Polymarket data assigns him approximately 0% probability of winning the general election.
22%
Polling average
our aggregate
1%
Win probability
market-implied
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
Donors & money
—
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Race
The contest Guckian is running in.
RI · GOVERNOR · 2026safe d
Guckian (R) vs Helena Foulkes (D)
22%−16.4 Foulkes38.4%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Guckian and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Polymarket · Democrat
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Polymarket · Republican
Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Polymarket · Independent
Rhode Island Governor winner?
Kalshi · vol $10 · Democratic Party
Rhode Island Governor winner?
Kalshi · vol $1 · Republican Party
Rhode Island Governor winner?
Kalshi · Ken Block
Sources & provenance
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.
Related coverage
pbn.com · 2026-07-03
Election26: Foulkes would target middle-class growth as governor
pbn.com · 2026-07-03
Election26: Foulkes would target middle-class growth as governor
aol.com · 2026-07-02
Rhode Island SEIU endorses Foulkes for governor
nytimes.com · 2026-07-02
Rhode Island U.S. Senate Election 2026: Latest Polls
Republican · RI Governor
Aaron Guckian
Aaron Guckian ( Republican Party ) is running for election for Governor of Rhode Island . He declared candidacy for the Republican primary scheduled on September 9, 2026 . [source]
Where Guckian standsRace →
Guckian 22%Helena Foulkes 38.4%
Market · wins
1¢
22%
Poll avg
1%
Win prob
In brief
AI · verified vs data · 2026-07-03Aaron Guckian is a Republican candidate for Governor of Rhode Island. He is competing in the Republican primary scheduled for September 9, 2026. In general election polling, he trails opponent Helena Foulkes by roughly 16 percentage points, polling at approximately 22% to her 38%. Polymarket data assigns him approximately 0% probability of winning the general election.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
—
No career timeline
Career history is built from Wikipedia / Wikidata records. No matching public record was found for this candidate.
Public favorability
—
No favorability data
This candidate isn't tracked by YouGov's public-figure panel, and no published state polling on their favorability was found.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
—
No campaign finance on file
FEC filings appear here once the candidate's committee reports. Early-cycle and self-funding candidates often have nothing on record yet.
Related prediction markets
All markets →Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Polymarket · Democrat
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Polymarket · Republican
Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
Polymarket · Independent
Rhode Island Governor winner?
Kalshi · vol $10 · Democratic Party
Rhode Island Governor winner?
Kalshi · vol $1 · Republican Party
Rhode Island Governor winner?
Kalshi · Ken Block
Sources & provenance
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT.