favorability · 507 polls · 68 sources ·
updated Jun 21
JD Vance — favorability
favorable
40.5
+0.1 vs 7d
unfavorable
50.7
+0.1 vs 7d
Net
−10.2
30-day Δ
+0.2
1-year Δ
−0.6
Series low
32.0
Series high
41.2
Last 90 days · favorable
Within series envelope2024 → today
LOW 32.0 · Jul 15AVG 39.4HIGH 41.2 · May 25
What's moving
VerifiedJD Vance — favorability shows Vance underwater in the most recent polls, with Echelon Insights recording 41% favorable / 52% unfavorable and Morning Consult showing 42% favorable / 46% unfavorable (both fielded June 22) [1][2]. Those readings are consistent with polls from earlier in the month: Echelon Insights had him at 43% favorable on June 14 [3], Morning Consult held steady at 42% on June 8 [4], and Global Strategy Group recorded 40% favorable / 52% unfavorable on June 8 [5]. HarrisX was the lone outlier, placing him at 46% favorable / 44% unfavorable on June 7 [6]. No polls from approximately 30 days ago are available to calculate a trend.
favorable over time
LOESS CONSENSUS
507 polls
BIAS-CORRECTED
House effects removed
INDIVIDUAL POLLS
raw readings
EVENT
curated
By administration
Average favorable during each presidency, from the smoothed series.
Biden · 2021–2025
37%
avg favorable
Trump 2 · 2025–now
41%
+4pp vs Biden
Pollster house effects
Pollsters on this topic · 64
D-LEAN
NEUTRAL
R-LEAN
MOST ALIGNED
The Tyson Group
0.0pp
Track record matches consensus to within 0.0 pp across 1 polls.
LARGEST HOUSE EFFECT
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
-5.3pp
Consistently understates support relative to consensus; weight in aggregate is downgraded accordingly.
Who's divided
78pp
Ideology divides Americans most on this topic.
Very conservative 82% favorable · Very liberal 4% · widest spread of any dimension
Dimension
0% favorablePOP AVG 40%100%
Spreadideology
5 subgroups
Very conservative 82
Somewhat conservative 70
Moderate 27
Somewhat liberal 5
Very liberal 4
78pp
party
3 subgroups
Republican 77
Independent 21
Democrat 8
69pp
gender
3 subgroups
Male 43
Female 35
Another gender 0
43pp
religion
5 subgroups
Born-again Protestant 59
Mainline Protestant 32
Roman Catholic 48
No religion 20
Other religion 36
39pp
race
4 subgroups
White Non-Hispanic 47
Black Non-Hispanic 13
Hispanic 29
Other 37
34pp
age
4 subgroups
18-29 25
30-44 35
45-59 40
60+ 48
23pp
education
5 subgroups
Less than HS 40
HS graduate 42
Vocational/tech school/some college/ associates 40
Bachelor's degree 40
Post grad study/professional degree 29
13pp
income
5 subgroups
Less than $30k 32
$30k to less than $50k 43
$50k to less than $75k 42
$75k to less than $100k 41
$100k or more 38
11pp
What's changed
2024
Named VP nominee
32%
2024
Elected vice president
40%
2025
Sworn in
41%