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direction · 881 polls · 3 sources · 2009 → 2026

US direction (right track / wrong track)

Today (2026)
35%
right_direction · 2026
First reading
37%
2009 · civiqs
17-year shift
-2pp
falling
Polls
881
polls
Sources
3
civiqs · yougov · the-economistyougov
right_direction % · 2009 → 2026LOESS-smoothed · raw dots underlaid50% line · majority threshold2009 · 37%Financial-crisis trough2011 · 30%US credit downgrade2016 · 30%2016 election2020 · 34%COVID national emergency2022 · 28%Inflation peaks200920122015201820212026
Story arc
Verified

US direction (right track / wrong track) shows a consistent pessimistic consensus across recent polls, with roughly 61–62% saying the country is on the wrong track and 28–34% saying it is headed in the right direction. The most recent reading comes from Civiqs (July 1) [1], showing 31% right direction and 62% wrong track, closely matched by YouGov (June 29) [2] at 32% right direction and 61% wrong track, and The Economist/YouGov (June 29) [3] at 28% right direction and 61% wrong track.

right direction over time

LOESS CONSENSUS
881 polls
BIAS-CORRECTED
House effects removed
INDIVIDUAL POLLS
raw readings
EVENT
curated
OBAMATRUMPBIDENTRUMP 220%30%40%50%2011 · US credit downgrade2016 · 2016 election2020 · COVID national emerge…2022 · Inflation peaksRAW 34.9CORR 32.220092013201720222026

By administration

Average right direction during each presidency, from the smoothed series.

Obama · 20092017
30%
avg right direction
Trump · 20172021
33%
+3pp vs Obama
Biden · 20212025
29%
−5pp vs Trump
Trump 2 · 2025now
33%
+4pp vs Biden

Pollster house effects

Pollsters on this topic · 3
D-LEAN
NEUTRAL
R-LEAN
← UNDERSTATES SUPPORTOVERSTATES SUPPORT →-3pp0pp+3ppYouGov-2.9The Economist/YouGov-1.2Civiqs-0.3
MOST ALIGNED
Civiqs
-0.3pp
Track record matches consensus to within 0.3 pp across 3 polls.
LARGEST HOUSE EFFECT
YouGov
-2.9pp
Consistently understates support relative to consensus; weight in aggregate is downgraded accordingly.

Who's divided

right direction by subgroup · latest crosstabs from Civiqs (6/30/2026).

43pp
Party divides Americans most on this topic.
Republican 69% right direction · Independent 26% · widest spread of any dimension
Dimension
0% right directionPOP AVG 30%100%
Spread
party
2 subgroups
Republican 69
Independent 26
43pp
race
4 subgroups
White 36
Black or African-American 7
Hispanic/Latino 27
Other 25
29pp
age
4 subgroups
18-34 20
35-49 25
50-64 38
65+ 39
19pp
education
3 subgroups
Non-College Graduate 34
College Graduate 29
Postgraduate 22
12pp
gender
2 subgroups
Male 37
Female 26
11pp

The party gap over time

Democrats and Republicans are 59 points apart today — 33pp wider than in 2009.

democrat6%independent19%republican65%RIGHT DIRECTION % BY SUBGROUP
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%20122015201820212024DEM 6IND 19REP 65

What's changed

2009
Financial-crisis trough
37%
2011
US credit downgrade
30%
2016
2016 election
30%
2020
COVID national emergency
34%
2022
Inflation peaks
28%